PIT at CHC / Wrigley Field

Paul Skenes

7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 11 K

Scheduled line estimate / Ranked from scheduled estimate / Pitch data pending

Game Score+

Elite / Top 5%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-05-23

Paul Skenes

PIT vs CHC / 7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 11 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 75

Elite / Top 5%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 95 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 95

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

98.5

Foul0.10 / 3.29

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

98.7

Ball-0.22 / 3.23

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

100.1

Ball0.22 / 2.44

#4 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

99.8

Whiff-0.61 / 3.03

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

99.6

Whiff-0.45 / 2.54

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

99.0

Foul-0.26 / 2.91

#7 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

98.7

Ball-0.73 / 2.91

#8 / Inn 1 / 3-2

4-Seam

99.5

Called Strike-0.43 / 3.23

#9 / Inn 1 / 3-2

4-Seam

100.0

Ball-0.34 / 2.35

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

100.8

Whiff0.35 / 3.30

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

99.8

Ball-0.66 / 2.63

#12 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

100.1

Whiff-0.42 / 3.23

#13 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

99.7

In Play0.15 / 2.54

#14 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

99.0

Ball-0.05 / 2.64

#15 / Inn 2 / 1-0

4-Seam

101.0

Ball-0.27 / 3.29

#16 / Inn 2 / 2-0

4-Seam

100.1

Called Strike-0.06 / 2.40

#17 / Inn 2 / 2-1

4-Seam

100.5

Whiff0.51 / 2.30

#18 / Inn 2 / 2-2

4-Seam

98.7

Foul0.44 / 3.13

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Foul	98.5	0.10 / 3.29
2	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	98.7	-0.22 / 3.23
3	1	1-1	4-Seam	Ball	100.1	0.22 / 2.44
4	1	2-1	4-Seam	Whiff	99.8	-0.61 / 3.03
5	1	2-2	4-Seam	Whiff	99.6	-0.45 / 2.54
6	1	2-2	4-Seam	Foul	99.0	-0.26 / 2.91
7	1	2-2	4-Seam	Ball	98.7	-0.73 / 2.91
8	1	3-2	4-Seam	Called Strike	99.5	-0.43 / 3.23
9	1	3-2	4-Seam	Ball	100.0	-0.34 / 2.35
10	1	0-0	4-Seam	Whiff	100.8	0.35 / 3.30
11	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	99.8	-0.66 / 2.63
12	1	1-1	4-Seam	Whiff	100.1	-0.42 / 3.23
13	1	1-2	4-Seam	In Play	99.7	0.15 / 2.54
14	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	99.0	-0.05 / 2.64
15	2	1-0	4-Seam	Ball	101.0	-0.27 / 3.29
16	2	2-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	100.1	-0.06 / 2.40
17	2	2-1	4-Seam	Whiff	100.5	0.51 / 2.30
18	2	2-2	4-Seam	Foul	98.7	0.44 / 3.13

Velocity trend

88-101 MPH

99.5

Inn 1

99.9

Inn 2

99.9

Inn 3

91.4

Inn 4

91.1

Inn 5

89.1

Inn 6

91.9

Inn 7

Inning timeline

95 pitches

Inn 1

5 strikes4 whiffs1 in play100.8 max

Inn 2

6 strikes1 whiffs1 in play101.0 max

Inn 3

5 strikes1 whiffs1 in play100.9 max

Inn 4

5 strikes4 whiffs2 in play98.4 max

Inn 5

6 strikes4 whiffs0 in play92.6 max

Inn 6

3 strikes3 whiffs1 in play96.8 max

Inn 7

3 strikes3 whiffs5 in play98.9 max

Count leverage

7 innings

Inn 1

3 ahead8 even3 behind6 2-strike

Inn 2

2 ahead4 even6 behind6 2-strike

Inn 3

5 ahead3 even3 behind4 2-strike

Inn 4

5 ahead9 even1 behind9 2-strike

Inn 5

1 ahead8 even4 behind7 2-strike

Inn 6

2 ahead8 even6 behind8 2-strike

Inn 7

2 ahead6 even6 behind0 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Elite

70-80 / Top 5%

Ace-level outing on the displayed 20-80 Game Score+ scale.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+21

7.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+24.2

11 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-3.6

3 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

-0.5

Wrigley Field run environment at 1.04 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.1

CHC schedule opponent quality

Opponent offense

+0.8

CHC fixture offense context: above-average run environment.

Scale adjustment

-8

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

40%

99.7AVG / 101.0 MAX

38 thrown50% whiff

Sinker

97.7AVG / 98.9 MAX

9 thrown17% whiff

Slider

29%

91.1AVG / 92.6 MAX

28 thrown47% whiff

Changeup

15%

88.4AVG / 89.6 MAX

14 thrown50% whiff

Curveball

84.1AVG / 85.0 MAX

6 thrown67% whiff