BAL at BOS / Fenway Park

Connelly Early

5.1 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 6 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-02

Connelly Early

BOS vs BAL / 5.1 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 6 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 62

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 96 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 96

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.4

Foul0.07 / 2.37

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

93.3

Ball0.27 / 4.08

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Sinker

92.6

Foul0.14 / 2.52

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

94.2

Foul-1.09 / 2.25

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Changeup

85.8

Ball1.24 / 2.27

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Changeup

82.8

Ball0.70 / 1.27

#7 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Sinker

93.8

Foul0.04 / 1.35

#8 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Sinker

92.7

Ball-0.83 / 2.12

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

92.4

Ball0.88 / 2.41

#10 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Slider

87.0

Ball-0.89 / 3.00

#11 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Sinker

92.6

Called Strike0.39 / 2.00

#12 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Slider

86.7

Foul0.08 / 2.74

#13 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

95.7

Ball1.34 / 2.81

#14 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Sinker

92.4

In Play-0.42 / 3.03

#15 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

92.8

Ball0.89 / 3.49

#16 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Changeup

83.9

In Play-0.13 / 2.63

#17 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.5

Foul0.03 / 3.38

#18 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

94.1

Called Strike-0.70 / 3.20

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Foul	92.4	0.07 / 2.37
2	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	93.3	0.27 / 4.08
3	1	1-1	Sinker	Foul	92.6	0.14 / 2.52
4	1	1-2	4-Seam	Foul	94.2	-1.09 / 2.25
5	1	1-2	Changeup	Ball	85.8	1.24 / 2.27
6	1	2-2	Changeup	Ball	82.8	0.70 / 1.27
7	1	3-2	Sinker	Foul	93.8	0.04 / 1.35
8	1	3-2	Sinker	Ball	92.7	-0.83 / 2.12
9	1	0-0	Sinker	Ball	92.4	0.88 / 2.41
10	1	1-0	Slider	Ball	87.0	-0.89 / 3.00
11	1	2-0	Sinker	Called Strike	92.6	0.39 / 2.00
12	1	2-1	Slider	Foul	86.7	0.08 / 2.74
13	1	2-2	4-Seam	Ball	95.7	1.34 / 2.81
14	1	3-2	Sinker	In Play	92.4	-0.42 / 3.03
15	1	0-0	Sinker	Ball	92.8	0.89 / 3.49
16	1	1-0	Changeup	In Play	83.9	-0.13 / 2.63
17	1	0-0	4-Seam	Foul	93.5	0.03 / 3.38
18	1	0-1	4-Seam	Called Strike	94.1	-0.70 / 3.20

Velocity trend

85-97 MPH

91.7

Inn 1

89.7

Inn 2

90.2

Inn 3

86.2

Inn 4

91.1

Inn 5

89.7

Inn 6

Inning timeline

96 pitches

Inn 1

4 strikes2 whiffs3 in play95.8 max

Inn 2

5 strikes2 whiffs4 in play95.7 max

Inn 3

10 strikes4 whiffs3 in play96.0 max

Inn 4

5 strikes3 whiffs3 in play93.7 max

Inn 5

2 strikes1 whiffs3 in play95.5 max

Inn 6

1 strikes1 whiffs0 in play94.3 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

5 ahead8 even10 behind8 2-strike

Inn 2

4 ahead14 even8 behind12 2-strike

Inn 3

8 ahead9 even7 behind8 2-strike

Inn 4

4 ahead6 even1 behind1 2-strike

Inn 5

2 ahead5 even2 behind2 2-strike

Inn 6

2 ahead1 even0 behind1 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+16

5.1 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

-0.6

Fenway Park at 1.05 run factor.

Opponent quality

-1.1

BAL live standings context: 29-32, -36 run differential.

Opponent offense

+0.6

Live offense context: 4.66 R/G, 0.722 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-6

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

38%

94.1AVG / 96.0 MAX

36 thrown26% whiff

Sinker

27%

92.7AVG / 94.7 MAX

26 thrown10% whiff

Slider

14%

85.0AVG / 87.9 MAX

13 thrown50% whiff

Changeup

14%

84.1AVG / 86.3 MAX

13 thrown14% whiff

Curveball

81.1AVG / 83.0 MAX

8 thrown25% whiff