BOS at TB / Tropicana Field

Connelly Early

4.2 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 6 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-08

Connelly Early

BOS vs TB / 4.2 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 6 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 56

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 94 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 94

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.9

In Play-0.83 / 2.92

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

93.1

Whiff0.63 / 0.94

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Changeup

83.8

Ball0.65 / 0.98

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

84.3

Whiff0.54 / 2.08

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

94.8

Ball2.07 / 4.96

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Changeup

83.2

Whiff0.52 / 1.32

#7 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

92.7

Whiff0.25 / 2.65

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

95.7

Ball-1.19 / 2.93

#9 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

85.7

Ball-0.92 / 1.00

#10 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Changeup

84.8

In Play-0.11 / 1.66

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

95.3

Called Strike0.54 / 2.81

#12 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

96.3

Ball-0.47 / 3.97

#13 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

94.7

Whiff-0.76 / 2.15

#14 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

95.8

Foul-0.24 / 3.35

#15 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Changeup

86.9

In Play0.20 / 1.51

#16 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

94.1

Whiff0.03 / 2.81

#17 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

94.5

Ball-1.04 / 2.80

#18 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

94.9

Called Strike-0.30 / 3.26

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	In Play	91.9	-0.83 / 2.92
2	1	0-0	Sinker	Whiff	93.1	0.63 / 0.94
3	1	0-1	Changeup	Ball	83.8	0.65 / 0.98
4	1	1-1	Changeup	Whiff	84.3	0.54 / 2.08
5	1	1-2	4-Seam	Ball	94.8	2.07 / 4.96
6	1	2-2	Changeup	Whiff	83.2	0.52 / 1.32
7	1	0-0	Sinker	Whiff	92.7	0.25 / 2.65
8	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	95.7	-1.19 / 2.93
9	1	1-1	Changeup	Ball	85.7	-0.92 / 1.00
10	1	2-1	Changeup	In Play	84.8	-0.11 / 1.66
11	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	95.3	0.54 / 2.81
12	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	96.3	-0.47 / 3.97
13	1	1-1	4-Seam	Whiff	94.7	-0.76 / 2.15
14	1	1-2	4-Seam	Foul	95.8	-0.24 / 3.35
15	1	1-2	Changeup	In Play	86.9	0.20 / 1.51
16	1	0-0	4-Seam	Whiff	94.1	0.03 / 2.81
17	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	94.5	-1.04 / 2.80
18	1	1-1	4-Seam	Called Strike	94.9	-0.30 / 3.26

Velocity trend

89-97 MPH

91.2

Inn 1

91.7

Inn 2

90.2

Inn 3

91.7

Inn 4

91.5

Inn 5

Inning timeline

94 pitches

Inn 1

9 strikes7 whiffs3 in play96.3 max

Inn 2

4 strikes3 whiffs2 in play95.6 max

Inn 3

5 strikes1 whiffs2 in play94.6 max

Inn 4

3 strikes1 whiffs2 in play95.8 max

Inn 5

4 strikes2 whiffs3 in play95.2 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

8 ahead12 even1 behind7 2-strike

Inn 2

3 ahead7 even4 behind4 2-strike

Inn 3

3 ahead7 even11 behind6 2-strike

Inn 4

3 ahead6 even13 behind9 2-strike

Inn 5

4 ahead8 even4 behind3 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+14

4.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

-6

4 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

Tropicana Field at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.2

TB live standings context: 38-25, +9 run differential.

Opponent offense

+0.4

Live offense context: 4.50 R/G, 0.724 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-8

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

46%

94.3AVG / 96.3 MAX

43 thrown22% whiff

Sinker

24%

92.6AVG / 93.9 MAX

23 thrown50% whiff

Slider

15%

86.3AVG / 89.2 MAX

14 thrown50% whiff

Changeup

14%

84.8AVG / 86.9 MAX

13 thrown33% whiff

Curveball

80.0AVG / 80.0 MAX

1 thrown0% whiff