CIN at CLE / Progressive Field

Chris Paddack

5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-05-16

Chris Paddack

CIN vs CLE / 5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 56

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 74 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 74

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.3

Called Strike-0.23 / 2.97

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Changeup

84.7

Whiff-0.17 / 1.94

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Changeup

84.6

In Play-0.49 / 1.71

#4 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Cutter

86.6

Ball1.20 / 2.90

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Changeup

84.3

In Play0.04 / 1.13

#6 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Cutter

85.8

Ball0.76 / 3.66

#7 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Curveball

76.7

Foul-0.31 / 2.84

#8 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

93.0

Foul0.43 / 2.40

#9 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Curveball

77.3

In Play0.48 / 1.90

#10 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Curveball

76.2

Called Strike-0.03 / 1.62

#11 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Curveball

75.9

Foul0.04 / 2.98

#12 / Inn 2 / 0-2

4-Seam

92.4

Called Strike-0.79 / 1.91

#13 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Curveball

77.0

Called Strike-0.48 / 2.48

#14 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Changeup

84.3

Called Strike0.06 / 1.46

#15 / Inn 2 / 0-2

4-Seam

94.2

Whiff0.12 / 3.33

#16 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

94.0

Called Strike0.01 / 2.33

#17 / Inn 2 / 0-1

4-Seam

94.5

In Play-0.28 / 3.29

#18 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Cutter

85.6

Whiff0.38 / 2.61

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	93.3	-0.23 / 2.97
2	1	0-1	Changeup	Whiff	84.7	-0.17 / 1.94
3	1	0-2	Changeup	In Play	84.6	-0.49 / 1.71
4	1	0-0	Cutter	Ball	86.6	1.20 / 2.90
5	1	1-0	Changeup	In Play	84.3	0.04 / 1.13
6	1	0-0	Cutter	Ball	85.8	0.76 / 3.66
7	1	1-0	Curveball	Foul	76.7	-0.31 / 2.84
8	1	1-1	4-Seam	Foul	93.0	0.43 / 2.40
9	1	1-2	Curveball	In Play	77.3	0.48 / 1.90
10	2	0-0	Curveball	Called Strike	76.2	-0.03 / 1.62
11	2	0-1	Curveball	Foul	75.9	0.04 / 2.98
12	2	0-2	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.4	-0.79 / 1.91
13	2	0-0	Curveball	Called Strike	77.0	-0.48 / 2.48
14	2	0-1	Changeup	Called Strike	84.3	0.06 / 1.46
15	2	0-2	4-Seam	Whiff	94.2	0.12 / 3.33
16	2	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	94.0	0.01 / 2.33
17	2	0-1	4-Seam	In Play	94.5	-0.28 / 3.29
18	2	0-0	Cutter	Whiff	85.6	0.38 / 2.61

Velocity trend

84-97 MPH

85.1

Inn 1

90.1

Inn 2

85.9

Inn 3

89.0

Inn 4

87.9

Inn 5

Inning timeline

74 pitches

Inn 1

2 strikes1 whiffs3 in play93.3 max

Inn 2

11 strikes4 whiffs3 in play95.4 max

Inn 3

3 strikes1 whiffs5 in play93.2 max

Inn 4

2 strikes1 whiffs4 in play93.1 max

Inn 5

4 strikes0 whiffs3 in play94.5 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

3 ahead4 even2 behind2 2-strike

Inn 2

11 ahead8 even3 behind7 2-strike

Inn 3

6 ahead7 even1 behind3 2-strike

Inn 4

2 ahead6 even8 behind4 2-strike

Inn 5

5 ahead6 even2 behind5 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+0.9

+2.7 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

-0.2

-0.1 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

+0.1

Progressive Field at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

CLE scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

CLE scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Scale adjustment

-6

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

50%

93.2AVG / 95.4 MAX

37 thrown17% whiff

Changeup

28%

84.5AVG / 86.5 MAX

21 thrown20% whiff

Curveball

11%

76.6AVG / 77.3 MAX

8 thrown0% whiff

Cutter

11%

85.3AVG / 86.6 MAX

8 thrown33% whiff