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MLB Upcoming Matchups - Sep 15 | Toe the SlabUpcoming Matchups
One card per game, ranked by starter form and matchup context.
Today · September 15 · first starter toes the slab 3:40 PM PDT
Tuesday, September 15
Matchup Board
One card per game, ranked by starter form and matchup context.
Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo
Week viewMIL @ PIT
/ PNC Park
Park 0.9869F / 1 mph wind
TOP WATCH SCORE
ATH @ TB
/ Tropicana Field
BAL @ NYM
/ Citi Field
NYY @ MIN
/ Target Field
ATL @ CHC
/ Wrigley Field
KC @ HOU
/ Daikin Park
SD @ COL
/ Coors Field
SEA @ LAA
/ Angel Stadium
MIA @ AZ
/ Chase Field
Lines PropLine · captured 7:15 AM PDT · 21+ only. For help call 1-800-GAMBLER
Tuesday, September 15
Matchup Board
MIL @ PIT
1.81 L5 ERA · PROJ 57.4
Two cold arms meet, with Misiorowski's 57.8 still the higher side.
/ GREAT AMERICAN BALL PARK
/ PROGRESSIVE FIELD
/ TROPICANA FIELD
/ NATIONALS PARK
/ ROGERS CENTRE
/ TARGET FIELD
/ WRIGLEY FIELD
/ BUSCH STADIUM
/ GLOBE LIFE FIELD
/ DAIKIN PARK
/ COORS FIELD
/ ANGEL STADIUM
/ CHASE FIELD

57.8Freefall· 1.81 L5 ERA
↓Falling -13.057.8Freefall - 1.81 L5 ERA
7d rest93 pitch avg
Short outingsWalks ↑Getting hit
Proj GS+ 57.45.1 IP / 7.6 K / 0.9 ERhigh confidence
Jacob Misiorowski recent form GS+: 59, 62, 63, 40, 65
More data closer to first pitch.
Great American Ball Park
Park 1.0880F / 4 mph wind

58.2Slipping· 2.74 L5 ERA
↓Falling -6.658.2Slipping - 2.74 L5 ERA
6d rest97 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 57.47.0 IP / 6.8 K / 2.3 ERhigh confidence
K line 7.5Proj 6.8Edge -0.7
Yoshinobu Yamamoto recent form GS+: 71, 51, 52, 51, 66
More data closer to first pitch.
/ Progressive Field
Park 0.9975F / 8 mph wind

CWS
Chris Murphy
SPOT START2026: 2 GS / 29 RP
CWS
Cold-start pitchers use baseline fallback where needed.
More data closer to first pitch.

43.2Slipping· 8.05 L5 ERA
↓Falling -2.343.2Slipping - 8.05 L5 ERA
7d rest84 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 42.44.1 IP / 5.6 K / 3.7 ERmedium confidence
K line 4.5Proj 5.6Edge +1.1
Jack Perkins recent form GS+: 50, 53, 30, 42, 41
More data closer to first pitch.
/ Nationals Park
Park 1.0066F / 2 mph wind

50.2Freefall· 2.44 L5 ERA
↓Falling -9.250.2Freefall - 2.44 L5 ERA
6d rest93 pitch avg
K-rate ↓Getting hitShort outings
Proj GS+ 50.56.0 IP / 6.7 K / 1.6 ERhigh confidence
Cristopher Sánchez recent form GS+: 56, 40, 71, 51, 33

WSH
Jackson Kent
FIRST STARTS2026: 6 GS / 0 RP
WSH
Cold-start pitchers use baseline fallback where needed.
More data closer to first pitch.
/ Rogers Centre

Small sample7d rest75 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 53.64.2 IP / 4.8 K / 1.2 ERlow confidence
K line 3.5Proj 4.8Edge +1.3

TOR
Braydon Fisher
FIRST STARTS2026: 9 GS / 63 RP
TOR
Form pending for a scheduled pitcher.
More data closer to first pitch.
Park 0.9762F / 5 mph wind

49.4Slipping· 4.22 L5 ERA
↓Falling -5.449.4Slipping - 4.22 L5 ERA
6d rest99 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 50.06.1 IP / 5.3 K / 2.7 ERhigh confidence
K line 4.5Proj 5.3Edge +0.8
Shane Baz recent form GS+: 57, 36, 56, 59, 39
More data closer to first pitch.
Park 0.9957F / 2 mph wind

48.6Slipping· 3.06 L5 ERA
↓Falling -7.448.6Slipping - 3.06 L5 ERA
5d rest83 pitch avg
Short outingsGetting hitWalks ↑
Proj GS+ 49.24.2 IP / 3.6 K / 1.3 ERhigh confidence
Max Fried recent form GS+: 49, 41, 42, 54, 57
More data closer to first pitch.
Park 1.0470F / 5 mph wind / 30% rain

45.0Slipping· 3.45 L5 ERA
↓Falling -5.845.0Slipping - 3.45 L5 ERA
5d rest85 pitch avg
Walks ↑
Proj GS+ 44.75.0 IP / 3.6 K / 2.0 ERhigh confidence
K line 3.5Proj 3.6Edge +0.1
Martín Pérez recent form GS+: 54, 41, 34, 35, 61
More data closer to first pitch.
/ Busch Stadium
Park 0.9777F / 4 mph wind / 36% rain

SF
Blade Tidwell
FIRST STARTS2026: 7 GS / 8 RP
SF
Last: vs STL / GS+ 37
Cold-start pitchers use baseline fallback where needed.
More data closer to first pitch.
/ Globe Life Field

BOS
Patrick Sandoval
FIRST STARTS2026: 11 GS / 0 RP
BOS
Last: vs LAA / GS+ 43
Cold-start pitchers use baseline fallback where needed.
More data closer to first pitch.

55.8Surging - 3.21 L5 ERA
7d rest97 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 55.16.2 IP / 4.9 K / 2.2 ERhigh confidence
K line 4.5Proj 4.9Edge +0.4
Michael Wacha recent form GS+: 46, 58, 63, 53, 59
More data closer to first pitch.
Park 1.1661F / 3 mph wind

48.8Slipping· 4.53 L5 ERA
↓Falling -6.848.8Slipping - 4.53 L5 ERA
6d rest76 pitch avg
Walks ↑Getting hit
Proj GS+ 47.84.1 IP / 4.0 K / 2.2 ERhigh confidence
Walker Buehler recent form GS+: 61, 58, 21, 59, 45
More data closer to first pitch.
Park 0.9868F / 5 mph wind

56.0Slipping· 3.87 L5 ERA
↓Falling -6.056.0Slipping - 3.87 L5 ERA
5d rest98 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 56.36.1 IP / 7.0 K / 2.6 ERhigh confidence
K line 6.5Proj 7.0Edge +0.5
Logan Gilbert recent form GS+: 70, 65, 50, 33, 62
More data closer to first pitch.

36.2Freefall· 5.43 L5 ERA
↓Falling -14.436.2Freefall - 5.43 L5 ERA
6d rest83 pitch avg
Getting hitShort outings
Proj GS+ 35.94.2 IP / 2.9 K / 2.6 ERhigh confidence
Janson Junk recent form GS+: 25, 29, 49, 58, 20
More data closer to first pitch.
Lake Bachar
LAD @ CIN
2.74 L5 ERA · PROJ 57.4
CIN vs LAD
5.50 L5 ERA · PROJ 37.0
Yamamoto's 58.2 makes Lowder chase the stronger recent arm.
CWS @ CLE
-- L5 ERA · PROBABLE STARTER
CLE vs CWS
3.55 L5 ERA · PROJ 50.7
Small-sample flags make Murphy's side less settled.
ATH @ TB
8.05 L5 ERA · PROJ 42.4
TB vs ATH
2.91 L5 ERA · PROJ 50.0
Jax and Perkins sit 7 points apart, the strikeout lean sits with Perkins at 5.6 vs 4.5.
PHI @ WSH
2.44 L5 ERA · PROJ 50.5
WSH vs PHI
9.00 L5 ERA · PROJ 38.8
Limited data around Kent keeps the matchup cautious, weather gives Nationals Park a clear toward arms lean.
DET @ TOR
2.45 L5 ERA · PROJ 53.6
TOR vs DET
0.00 L5 ERA · PROJ 46.9
Limited data around Anderson keeps the matchup cautious.
BAL @ NYM
4.22 L5 ERA · PROJ 50.0
NYM vs BAL
4.68 L5 ERA · PROJ 49.8
Cold form on both sides keeps this matchup cautious, weather at Citi Field points toward arms.
NYY @ MIN
3.06 L5 ERA · PROJ 49.2
MIN vs NYY
4.44 L5 ERA · PROJ 46.6
Both bands sit low, keeping the watch score restrained.
ATL @ CHC
3.45 L5 ERA · PROJ 44.7
CHC vs ATL
4.34 L5 ERA · PROJ 42.3
Pérez gets the lean, but both starters are scuffling.
SF @ STL
6.00 L5 ERA · PROJ 43.5
STL vs SF
3.43 L5 ERA · PROJ 49.5
Tidwell's sample is light, so the score needs restraint.
BOS @ TEX
6.30 L5 ERA · PROJ 40.2
TEX vs BOS
3.26 L5 ERA · PROJ 59.2
Thin sample on Sandoval, so read the number as provisional.
KC @ HOU
3.21 L5 ERA · PROJ 55.1
HOU vs KC
2.72 L5 ERA · PROJ 53.1
Wacha brings the only strong form side against cold Brown.
SD @ COL
4.53 L5 ERA · PROJ 47.8
COL vs SD
7.25 L5 ERA · PROJ 44.4
Buehler has the steadier arm with Freeland stuck low.
SEA @ LAA
3.87 L5 ERA · PROJ 56.3
LAA vs SEA
4.60 L5 ERA · PROJ 53.5
Johnson's cold band drags the matchup below Gilbert's side.
MIA @ AZ
5.43 L5 ERA · PROJ 35.9
AZ vs MIA
3.11 L5 ERA · PROJ 56.1
Soroka's 57.2 runs into cold Junk, making the gap hard to ignore.
K line 8.5Proj 7.6Edge -0.9
52.8Slipping· 0.77 L5 ERA
↓Falling -3.2
52.8Slipping - 0.77 L5 ERA
6d rest39 pitch avg
Short outings
Proj GS+ 53.23.5 IP / 4.8 K / 0.2 ERmedium confidence
K line 2.5Proj 4.8Edge +2.3
Lake Bachar recent form GS+: 56, 57, 49, 52, 50
37.8Freefall· 5.50 L5 ERA
↓Falling -11.8
37.8Freefall - 5.50 L5 ERA
6d rest91 pitch avg
Getting hit
Proj GS+ 37.04.2 IP / 3.7 K / 2.7 ERhigh confidence
K line 3.5Proj 3.7Edge +0.2
Rhett Lowder recent form GS+: 45, 49, 36, 31, 28
50.8Slipping· 3.55 L5 ERA
↓Falling -6.2
50.8Slipping - 3.55 L5 ERA
6d rest91 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 50.75.2 IP / 5.0 K / 2.1 ERhigh confidence
K line 4.5Proj 5.0Edge +0.5
Foster Griffin recent form GS+: 69, 71, 50, 44, 20
50.0Even· 2.91 L5 ERA
↓Falling -0.6
6d rest71 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 50.04.2 IP / 3.6 K / 1.4 ERhigh confidence
K line 5.5Proj 3.6Edge -1.9
Griffin Jax recent form GS+: 54, 59, 50, 31, 56
K line 6.5Proj 6.7Edge +0.2
50.0Freefall· 4.68 L5 ERA
↓Falling -8.0
50.0Freefall - 4.68 L5 ERA
Rust watch7d rest83 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 49.85.0 IP / 4.6 K / 2.5 ERmedium confidence
K line 6.5Proj 4.6Edge -1.9
Sean Manaea recent form GS+: 58, 52, 42, 53, 45
K line 4.5Proj 3.6Edge -0.9
46.8Freefall· 4.44 L5 ERA
↓Falling -9.2
46.8Freefall - 4.44 L5 ERA
Rust watch9d rest86 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 46.65.2 IP / 3.8 K / 2.4 ERhigh confidence
K line 4.5Proj 3.8Edge -0.7
Bailey Ober recent form GS+: 74, 40, 42, 24, 54
42.6Slipping· 4.34 L5 ERA
↓Falling -5.2
42.6Slipping - 4.34 L5 ERA
6d rest92 pitch avg
Getting hitWalks ↑Short outings
Proj GS+ 42.35.0 IP / 5.1 K / 2.4 ERhigh confidence
K line 5.5Proj 5.1Edge -0.4
Kevin Gausman recent form GS+: 20, 32, 59, 68, 34
49.0Slipping· 3.43 L5 ERA
↓Falling -3.6
49.0Slipping - 3.43 L5 ERA
6d rest89 pitch avg
K-rate ↓
Proj GS+ 49.55.2 IP / 3.7 K / 1.9 ERhigh confidence
K line 3.5Proj 3.7Edge +0.2
Andre Pallante recent form GS+: 52, 36, 58, 48, 51
59.2Climbing· 3.26 L5 ERA
↑Rising +2.2
59.2Climbing - 3.26 L5 ERA
5d rest95 pitch avg
K-rate ↑Going deeper
Proj GS+ 59.26.1 IP / 7.6 K / 2.2 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 7.6
Jacob deGrom recent form GS+: 44, 56, 65, 58, 73
53.0Freefall· 2.72 L5 ERA
↓Falling -8.7
53.0Freefall - 2.72 L5 ERA
6d rest94 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 53.15.0 IP / 6.3 K / 1.5 ERmedium confidence
K line 5.5Proj 6.3Edge +0.8
Hunter Brown recent form GS+: 59, 48, 52, 57, 49
K line 3.5
Proj 4.0
Edge +0.5
46.2Surging· 7.25 L5 ERA
↑Rising +11.6
46.2Surging - 7.25 L5 ERA
76d rest86 pitch avg
Going deeperWalks ↓Run prevention
Proj GS+ 44.45.2 IP / 4.6 K / 4.3 ERhigh confidence
K line 2.5Proj 4.6Edge +2.1
Kyle Freeland recent form GS+: 44, 33, 63, 35, 56
53.2Surging· 4.60 L5 ERA
↑Rising +24.7
53.2Surging - 4.60 L5 ERA
6d rest90 pitch avg
Walks ↓
Proj GS+ 53.55.2 IP / 4.3 K / 2.6 ERmedium confidence
K line 4.5Proj 4.3Edge -0.2
Ryan Johnson recent form GS+: 33, 70, 52, 60, 51
K line 2.5
Proj 2.9
Edge +0.4
57.2Surging· 3.11 L5 ERA
↑Rising +6.2
57.2Surging - 3.11 L5 ERA
94d rest91 pitch avg
Going deeperWalks ↓
Proj GS+ 56.16.1 IP / 6.0 K / 2.2 ERhigh confidence
K line 4.5Proj 6.0Edge +1.5
Michael Soroka recent form GS+: 56, 52, 52, 61, 65