PIT at STL / Busch Stadium

Mitch Keller

5.2 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch data pending

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-05-19

Mitch Keller

PIT vs STL / 5.2 IP, 4 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 57

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 83 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 83

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

92.5

Ball-1.62 / 4.48

#2 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Slider

87.2

Foul0.55 / 2.26

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

89.3

Ball1.13 / 1.47

#4 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

93.8

Foul0.19 / 2.35

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Slider

89.2

Ball1.53 / 0.43

#6 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Slider

88.5

In Play-0.36 / 2.56

#7 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

93.2

Foul-0.30 / 2.62

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

93.9

Called Strike-0.40 / 3.24

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

83.1

Ball1.88 / 1.33

#10 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

93.6

Foul-0.20 / 3.15

#11 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Slider

83.6

Ball2.74 / 0.45

#12 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Cutter

91.7

Whiff-0.45 / 3.59

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

78.9

Foul-0.09 / 2.39

#14 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Curveball

79.9

Whiff-0.19 / 0.85

#15 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Changeup

89.6

Ball-1.22 / 1.89

#16 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Changeup

90.7

Foul0.57 / 0.53

#17 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Curveball

80.9

Foul0.84 / 1.86

#18 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

95.8

In Play-1.26 / 2.91

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	Sinker	Ball	92.5	-1.62 / 4.48
2	1	1-0	Slider	Foul	87.2	0.55 / 2.26
3	1	1-1	Changeup	Ball	89.3	1.13 / 1.47
4	1	2-1	4-Seam	Foul	93.8	0.19 / 2.35
5	1	2-2	Slider	Ball	89.2	1.53 / 0.43
6	1	3-2	Slider	In Play	88.5	-0.36 / 2.56
7	1	0-0	Sinker	Foul	93.2	-0.30 / 2.62
8	1	0-1	4-Seam	Called Strike	93.9	-0.40 / 3.24
9	1	0-2	Slider	Ball	83.1	1.88 / 1.33
10	1	1-2	4-Seam	Foul	93.6	-0.20 / 3.15
11	1	1-2	Slider	Ball	83.6	2.74 / 0.45
12	1	2-2	Cutter	Whiff	91.7	-0.45 / 3.59
13	1	0-0	Curveball	Foul	78.9	-0.09 / 2.39
14	1	0-1	Curveball	Whiff	79.9	-0.19 / 0.85
15	1	0-2	Changeup	Ball	89.6	-1.22 / 1.89
16	1	1-2	Changeup	Foul	90.7	0.57 / 0.53
17	1	1-2	Curveball	Foul	80.9	0.84 / 1.86
18	1	1-2	4-Seam	In Play	95.8	-1.26 / 2.91

Velocity trend

86-97 MPH

88.6

Inn 1

88.8

Inn 2

89.5

Inn 3

90.8

Inn 4

87.5

Inn 5

87.2

Inn 6

Inning timeline

83 pitches

Inn 1

3 strikes2 whiffs2 in play95.8 max

Inn 2

2 strikes1 whiffs2 in play93.5 max

Inn 3

3 strikes1 whiffs4 in play94.7 max

Inn 4

3 strikes1 whiffs5 in play93.9 max

Inn 5

3 strikes1 whiffs2 in play93.2 max

Inn 6

1 strikes0 whiffs2 in play93.1 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

9 ahead6 even3 behind10 2-strike

Inn 2

6 ahead3 even0 behind3 2-strike

Inn 3

5 ahead6 even6 behind3 2-strike

Inn 4

3 ahead8 even2 behind2 2-strike

Inn 5

2 ahead6 even6 behind2 2-strike

Inn 6

0 ahead6 even6 behind3 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+17

5.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

+0.4

Busch Stadium at 0.97 run factor.

Opponent quality

STL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

STL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Scale adjustment

-6

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

28%

93.1AVG / 95.8 MAX

23 thrown8% whiff

Sinker

11%

92.1AVG / 93.9 MAX

9 thrown0% whiff

Slider

20%

85.8AVG / 89.7 MAX

17 thrown0% whiff

Changeup

22%

89.0AVG / 90.7 MAX

18 thrown18% whiff

Curveball

11%

78.8AVG / 80.9 MAX

9 thrown29% whiff

Cutter

89.7AVG / 91.7 MAX

7 thrown33% whiff