BOS at TB / Tropicana Field

Connelly Early

4.2 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 6 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch data pending

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-08

Connelly Early

BOS vs TB / 4.2 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 6 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 56

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 96 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 96

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.9

In Play-0.86 / 2.87

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

93.1

Whiff0.63 / 0.85

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Changeup

83.8

Ball0.64 / 0.86

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

84.3

Whiff0.53 / 1.98

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

94.8

Ball2.08 / 4.94

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Changeup

83.2

Whiff0.51 / 1.22

#7 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

92.7

Whiff0.24 / 2.58

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

95.7

Ball-1.22 / 2.88

#9 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

85.7

Ball-0.96 / 0.89

#10 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Changeup

84.8

In Play-0.13 / 1.56

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

95.3

Called Strike0.53 / 2.76

#12 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

96.3

Ball-0.49 / 3.93

#13 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

94.7

Whiff-0.79 / 2.09

#14 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

95.8

Foul-0.26 / 3.30

#15 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Changeup

86.9

In Play0.18 / 1.40

#16 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

94.1

Whiff0.01 / 2.75

#17 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

94.5

Ball-1.07 / 2.75

#18 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

94.9

Called Strike-0.33 / 3.21

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	In Play	91.9	-0.86 / 2.87
2	1	0-0	Sinker	Whiff	93.1	0.63 / 0.85
3	1	0-1	Changeup	Ball	83.8	0.64 / 0.86
4	1	1-1	Changeup	Whiff	84.3	0.53 / 1.98
5	1	1-2	4-Seam	Ball	94.8	2.08 / 4.94
6	1	2-2	Changeup	Whiff	83.2	0.51 / 1.22
7	1	0-0	Sinker	Whiff	92.7	0.24 / 2.58
8	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	95.7	-1.22 / 2.88
9	1	1-1	Changeup	Ball	85.7	-0.96 / 0.89
10	1	2-1	Changeup	In Play	84.8	-0.13 / 1.56
11	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	95.3	0.53 / 2.76
12	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	96.3	-0.49 / 3.93
13	1	1-1	4-Seam	Whiff	94.7	-0.79 / 2.09
14	1	1-2	4-Seam	Foul	95.8	-0.26 / 3.30
15	1	1-2	Changeup	In Play	86.9	0.18 / 1.40
16	1	0-0	4-Seam	Whiff	94.1	0.01 / 2.75
17	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	94.5	-1.07 / 2.75
18	1	1-1	4-Seam	Called Strike	94.9	-0.33 / 3.21

Velocity trend

89-97 MPH

91.2

Inn 1

90.6

Inn 2

90.2

Inn 3

91.7

Inn 4

91.5

Inn 5

Inning timeline

96 pitches

Inn 1

9 strikes7 whiffs3 in play96.3 max

Inn 2

3 strikes2 whiffs2 in play95.6 max

Inn 3

4 strikes0 whiffs2 in play94.6 max

Inn 4

3 strikes1 whiffs2 in play95.8 max

Inn 5

4 strikes2 whiffs3 in play95.2 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

8 ahead12 even1 behind7 2-strike

Inn 2

3 ahead8 even5 behind4 2-strike

Inn 3

3 ahead7 even11 behind6 2-strike

Inn 4

3 ahead6 even13 behind9 2-strike

Inn 5

4 ahead8 even4 behind3 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+14

4.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

-6

4 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

Tropicana Field at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

TB scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

TB scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Scale adjustment

-7

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

45%

94.3AVG / 96.3 MAX

43 thrown22% whiff

Sinker

24%

92.6AVG / 93.9 MAX

23 thrown30% whiff

Slider

15%

86.3AVG / 89.2 MAX

14 thrown50% whiff

Changeup

15%

84.8AVG / 86.9 MAX

14 thrown33% whiff

Curveball

80.7AVG / 81.3 MAX

2 thrown0% whiff