PHI at MIL / American Family Field

Aaron Nola

4.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch data pending

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-13

Aaron Nola

PHI vs MIL / 4.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 53

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 85 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 85

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.6

Whiff-0.65 / 2.54

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Curveball

77.3

In Play-0.55 / 1.98

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.6

Called Strike-0.42 / 2.27

#4 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Sinker

92.1

Ball1.13 / 2.43

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Curveball

77.9

Foul0.49 / 1.56

#6 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Curveball

78.9

Ball1.81 / 0.60

#7 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Sinker

93.2

Foul-0.05 / 2.61

#8 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Curveball

78.3

Ball1.07 / 1.27

#9 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Curveball

78.2

In Play0.28 / 2.20

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.3

Ball-0.93 / 2.01

#11 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Curveball

76.7

Ball-1.28 / 2.70

#12 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Sinker

90.6

In Play-0.80 / 2.43

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

90.2

In Play-0.53 / 1.74

#14 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

78.1

Ball-1.25 / 2.22

#15 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Curveball

79.0

Ball1.15 / 1.39

#16 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Changeup

86.3

In Play-0.41 / 2.17

#17 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Curveball

77.1

In Play-0.02 / 1.41

#18 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.4

Called Strike-0.35 / 2.31

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Whiff	92.6	-0.65 / 2.54
2	1	0-1	Curveball	In Play	77.3	-0.55 / 1.98
3	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.6	-0.42 / 2.27
4	1	0-1	Sinker	Ball	92.1	1.13 / 2.43
5	1	1-1	Curveball	Foul	77.9	0.49 / 1.56
6	1	1-2	Curveball	Ball	78.9	1.81 / 0.60
7	1	2-2	Sinker	Foul	93.2	-0.05 / 2.61
8	1	2-2	Curveball	Ball	78.3	1.07 / 1.27
9	1	3-2	Curveball	In Play	78.2	0.28 / 2.20
10	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.3	-0.93 / 2.01
11	1	1-0	Curveball	Ball	76.7	-1.28 / 2.70
12	1	2-0	Sinker	In Play	90.6	-0.80 / 2.43
13	1	0-0	Sinker	In Play	90.2	-0.53 / 1.74
14	1	0-0	Curveball	Ball	78.1	-1.25 / 2.22
15	1	1-0	Curveball	Ball	79.0	1.15 / 1.39
16	1	2-0	Changeup	In Play	86.3	-0.41 / 2.17
17	2	0-0	Curveball	In Play	77.1	-0.02 / 1.41
18	2	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.4	-0.35 / 2.31

Velocity trend

83-97 MPH

84.6

Inn 1

84.2

Inn 2

86.2

Inn 3

86.1

Inn 4

87.4

Inn 5

Inning timeline

85 pitches

Inn 1

2 strikes1 whiffs5 in play93.2 max

Inn 2

3 strikes1 whiffs3 in play93.1 max

Inn 3

5 strikes0 whiffs2 in play92.7 max

Inn 4

7 strikes0 whiffs4 in play92.8 max

Inn 5

4 strikes1 whiffs3 in play92.6 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

3 ahead8 even5 behind4 2-strike

Inn 2

3 ahead8 even1 behind5 2-strike

Inn 3

1 ahead8 even8 behind4 2-strike

Inn 4

8 ahead11 even7 behind7 2-strike

Inn 5

4 ahead9 even1 behind4 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+14

4.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

American Family Field at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

MIL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

MIL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Scale adjustment

-5

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

20%

92.3AVG / 93.1 MAX

17 thrown17% whiff

Sinker

26%

91.6AVG / 93.2 MAX

22 thrown0% whiff

Slider

81.9AVG / 82.5 MAX

4 thrown0% whiff

Changeup

12%

85.7AVG / 86.4 MAX

10 thrown0% whiff

Curveball

32%

77.7AVG / 79.0 MAX

27 thrown8% whiff

Cutter

85.3AVG / 86.8 MAX

5 thrown25% whiff