DET at HOU / Daikin Park

Casey Mize

4.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-17

Casey Mize

DET vs HOU / 4.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 3 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 55

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 83 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 83

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.8

Ball1.36 / 2.59

#2 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Slider

87.8

Whiff0.76 / 2.58

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

93.5

Ball0.37 / 1.35

#4 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Sinker

93.7

Foul0.35 / 2.53

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Slider

89.9

Whiff1.25 / 2.34

#6 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Slider

87.7

Foul0.24 / 2.58

#7 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Slider

86.7

Called Strike-0.30 / 1.69

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

87.2

Ball-0.84 / 1.55

#9 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

95.2

Ball-0.32 / 5.36

#10 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

93.8

Ball-0.18 / 1.35

#11 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Changeup

89.1

In Play-0.75 / 2.54

#12 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Slider

90.6

Ball0.84 / 1.83

#13 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Sinker

94.5

In Play-0.11 / 2.51

#14 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.4

Ball1.57 / 2.24

#15 / Inn 2 / 1-0

Sinker

92.5

Foul0.06 / 2.61

#16 / Inn 2 / 1-1

Slider

80.6

In Play0.81 / 2.06

#17 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Slider

88.7

Whiff1.36 / 1.00

#18 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Slider

88.8

Ball1.55 / 1.44

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.8	1.36 / 2.59
2	1	1-0	Slider	Whiff	87.8	0.76 / 2.58
3	1	1-1	4-Seam	Ball	93.5	0.37 / 1.35
4	1	2-1	Sinker	Foul	93.7	0.35 / 2.53
5	1	2-2	Slider	Whiff	89.9	1.25 / 2.34
6	1	0-0	Slider	Foul	87.7	0.24 / 2.58
7	1	0-1	Slider	Called Strike	86.7	-0.30 / 1.69
8	1	0-2	Slider	Ball	87.2	-0.84 / 1.55
9	1	1-2	4-Seam	Ball	95.2	-0.32 / 5.36
10	1	2-2	4-Seam	Ball	93.8	-0.18 / 1.35
11	1	3-2	Changeup	In Play	89.1	-0.75 / 2.54
12	1	0-0	Slider	Ball	90.6	0.84 / 1.83
13	1	1-0	Sinker	In Play	94.5	-0.11 / 2.51
14	2	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	93.4	1.57 / 2.24
15	2	1-0	Sinker	Foul	92.5	0.06 / 2.61
16	2	1-1	Slider	In Play	80.6	0.81 / 2.06
17	2	0-0	Slider	Whiff	88.7	1.36 / 1.00
18	2	0-1	Slider	Ball	88.8	1.55 / 1.44

Velocity trend

88-97 MPH

90.9

Inn 1

90.0

Inn 2

90.9

Inn 3

92.9

Inn 4

91.5

Inn 5

Inning timeline

83 pitches

Inn 1

3 strikes2 whiffs2 in play95.2 max

Inn 2

4 strikes1 whiffs4 in play94.3 max

Inn 3

6 strikes3 whiffs3 in play95.2 max

Inn 4

8 strikes2 whiffs4 in play95.9 max

Inn 5

2 strikes0 whiffs4 in play95.6 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

3 ahead6 even4 behind5 2-strike

Inn 2

3 ahead9 even3 behind2 2-strike

Inn 3

5 ahead6 even5 behind5 2-strike

Inn 4

10 ahead9 even7 behind10 2-strike

Inn 5

4 ahead8 even1 behind2 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+14

4.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

+0.1

Daikin Park at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.6

HOU scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.2

HOU scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Scale adjustment

-6

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

36%

94.1AVG / 95.9 MAX

30 thrown36% whiff

Sinker

23%

93.9AVG / 95.8 MAX

19 thrown0% whiff

Slider

31%

87.4AVG / 90.6 MAX

26 thrown23% whiff

Changeup

10%

89.1AVG / 90.0 MAX

8 thrown20% whiff