MIN at HOU / Daikin Park

Zebby Matthews

6.2 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 9 K

Scheduled line estimate / Ranked from scheduled estimate / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

Elite / Top 5%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-06-29

Zebby Matthews

MIN vs HOU / 6.2 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 9 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 71

Elite / Top 5%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 37 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 37

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Cutter

90.4

In Play0.85 / 2.45

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

94.1

Ball-1.16 / 3.37

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Cutter

89.7

Ball-1.32 / 3.23

#4 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Cutter

91.5

Called Strike-0.07 / 2.91

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Changeup

86.0

Called Strike-0.58 / 2.77

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

96.2

Foul0.00 / 2.54

#7 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

95.9

Whiff-0.72 / 2.80

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

95.7

Called Strike0.10 / 1.80

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Curveball

80.2

Ball0.61 / 0.58

#10 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

86.0

Ball-0.89 / 2.98

#11 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

95.0

In Play0.68 / 2.77

#12 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Cutter

90.6

Ball1.09 / 1.76

#13 / Inn 2 / 1-0

4-Seam

94.6

Called Strike0.75 / 2.61

#14 / Inn 2 / 1-1

Cutter

91.4

In Play0.46 / 2.63

#15 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Slider

86.4

Called Strike0.70 / 2.07

#16 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Cutter

92.0

Foul0.71 / 2.61

#17 / Inn 2 / 0-2

Curveball

80.6

Ball0.57 / -0.45

#18 / Inn 2 / 1-2

Curveball

81.2

Called Strike1.19 / -0.36

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	Cutter	In Play	90.4	0.85 / 2.45
2	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	94.1	-1.16 / 3.37
3	1	1-0	Cutter	Ball	89.7	-1.32 / 3.23
4	1	2-0	Cutter	Called Strike	91.5	-0.07 / 2.91
5	1	2-1	Changeup	Called Strike	86.0	-0.58 / 2.77
6	1	2-2	4-Seam	Foul	96.2	0.00 / 2.54
7	1	2-2	4-Seam	Whiff	95.9	-0.72 / 2.80
8	1	0-0	Sinker	Called Strike	95.7	0.10 / 1.80
9	1	0-1	Curveball	Ball	80.2	0.61 / 0.58
10	1	1-1	Changeup	Ball	86.0	-0.89 / 2.98
11	1	2-1	4-Seam	In Play	95.0	0.68 / 2.77
12	2	0-0	Cutter	Ball	90.6	1.09 / 1.76
13	2	1-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	94.6	0.75 / 2.61
14	2	1-1	Cutter	In Play	91.4	0.46 / 2.63
15	2	0-0	Slider	Called Strike	86.4	0.70 / 2.07
16	2	0-1	Cutter	Foul	92.0	0.71 / 2.61
17	2	0-2	Curveball	Ball	80.6	0.57 / -0.45
18	2	1-2	Curveball	Called Strike	81.2	1.19 / -0.36

Velocity trend

87-97 MPH

91.0

Inn 1

88.6

Inn 2

89.1

Inn 3

Inning timeline

37 pitches

Inn 1

4 strikes1 whiffs2 in play96.2 max

Inn 2

4 strikes0 whiffs2 in play95.2 max

Inn 3

6 strikes3 whiffs2 in play95.5 max

Count leverage

3 innings

Inn 1

1 ahead6 even4 behind2 2-strike

Inn 2

3 ahead5 even2 behind2 2-strike

Inn 3

9 ahead5 even2 behind7 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Elite

70-80 / Top 5%

Ace-level outing on the displayed 20-80 Game Score+ scale.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+20

6.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+19.8

9 strikeouts.

Runs

0 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

+0.1

Daikin Park at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

-0.9

HOU live standings context: 42-44, -42 run differential.

Opponent offense

+0.4

Live offense context: 4.45 R/G, 0.724 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-10

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

24%

95.1AVG / 96.2 MAX

9 thrown25% whiff

Sinker

95.5AVG / 95.7 MAX

2 thrown0% whiff

Slider

22%

87.2AVG / 88.2 MAX

8 thrown33% whiff

Changeup

86.0AVG / 86.0 MAX

2 thrown0% whiff

Curveball

14%

80.2AVG / 81.2 MAX

5 thrown0% whiff

Cutter

30%

90.3AVG / 92.0 MAX

11 thrown29% whiff