SD at CHC / Wrigley Field

Colin Rea

5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 5 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 45 / GS+ -1 adj

Win

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-07-01

Colin Rea

CHC vs SD / 5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 5 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 56

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 76 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 76

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.5

Called Strike0.58 / 2.37

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Slider

87.8

In Play0.35 / 2.05

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

94.5

Ball-1.27 / 3.13

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Cutter

86.6

Ball-1.29 / 1.76

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-0

4-Seam

93.6

Ball-1.82 / 2.93

#6 / Inn 1 / 3-0

4-Seam

93.6

Called Strike-0.16 / 1.97

#7 / Inn 1 / 3-1

Changeup

86.8

Ball-1.21 / 3.49

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Cutter

87.5

Foul0.35 / 2.78

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Sinker

92.0

Foul-0.73 / 2.14

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

83.1

Whiff0.75 / 3.31

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Slider

87.6

Whiff1.26 / 1.02

#12 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Slider

87.7

Foul0.92 / 1.72

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

85.2

Ball2.69 / 0.89

#14 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

93.2

Ball-0.59 / 4.18

#15 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Slider

86.5

Foul1.15 / 1.63

#16 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Slider

85.9

Foul0.82 / 1.45

#17 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Slider

86.4

Whiff-0.05 / 2.41

#18 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.0

Called Strike-0.35 / 2.39

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	93.5	0.58 / 2.37
2	1	0-1	Slider	In Play	87.8	0.35 / 2.05
3	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	94.5	-1.27 / 3.13
4	1	1-0	Cutter	Ball	86.6	-1.29 / 1.76
5	1	2-0	4-Seam	Ball	93.6	-1.82 / 2.93
6	1	3-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	93.6	-0.16 / 1.97
7	1	3-1	Changeup	Ball	86.8	-1.21 / 3.49
8	1	0-0	Cutter	Foul	87.5	0.35 / 2.78
9	1	0-1	Sinker	Foul	92.0	-0.73 / 2.14
10	1	0-2	Slider	Whiff	83.1	0.75 / 3.31
11	1	0-0	Slider	Whiff	87.6	1.26 / 1.02
12	1	0-1	Slider	Foul	87.7	0.92 / 1.72
13	1	0-2	Slider	Ball	85.2	2.69 / 0.89
14	1	1-2	4-Seam	Ball	93.2	-0.59 / 4.18
15	1	2-2	Slider	Foul	86.5	1.15 / 1.63
16	1	2-2	Slider	Foul	85.9	0.82 / 1.45
17	1	2-2	Slider	Whiff	86.4	-0.05 / 2.41
18	2	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.0	-0.35 / 2.39

Velocity trend

86-97 MPH

88.9

Inn 1

89.5

Inn 2

90.2

Inn 3

87.8

Inn 4

87.8

Inn 5

Inning timeline

76 pitches

Inn 1

5 strikes3 whiffs1 in play94.5 max

Inn 2

5 strikes1 whiffs3 in play94.1 max

Inn 3

4 strikes2 whiffs4 in play94.5 max

Inn 4

4 strikes2 whiffs2 in play94.7 max

Inn 5

8 strikes4 whiffs5 in play94.2 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

6 ahead7 even4 behind6 2-strike

Inn 2

4 ahead4 even0 behind1 2-strike

Inn 3

1 ahead7 even8 behind0 2-strike

Inn 4

2 ahead4 even2 behind1 2-strike

Inn 5

9 ahead11 even7 behind7 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+11

5 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

-0.5

Wrigley Field at 1.04 run factor.

Opponent quality

-0.6

SD live standings context: 43-42, -36 run differential.

Opponent offense

-1.2

Live offense context: 3.92 R/G, 0.672 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-7

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

24%

93.5AVG / 94.7 MAX

18 thrown0% whiff

Sinker

13%

92.3AVG / 94.5 MAX

10 thrown0% whiff

Slider

34%

85.4AVG / 87.8 MAX

26 thrown41% whiff

Changeup

22%

88.4AVG / 90.7 MAX

17 thrown45% whiff

Curveball

80.1AVG / 80.9 MAX

3 thrown0% whiff

Cutter

87.0AVG / 87.5 MAX

2 thrown0% whiff