MIA at ATH / Sutter Health Park

Aaron Civale

4.2 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 6 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 46 / GS+ -3 adj

LOSS

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-07-04

Aaron Civale

ATH vs MIA / 4.2 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 6 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 62

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 81 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 81

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.4

Called Strike-0.52 / 2.13

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Curveball

75.9

Ball-0.93 / 2.10

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Cutter

88.0

In Play-0.27 / 2.46

#4 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

77.2

Called Strike-0.17 / 2.16

#5 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Cutter

86.4

Ball0.34 / 5.62

#6 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Sinker

91.9

Ball-1.24 / 2.29

#7 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Cutter

87.5

Ball-0.83 / 2.51

#8 / Inn 1 / 3-1

Cutter

86.8

Ball-0.67 / 3.49

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Cutter

86.9

Whiff1.21 / 2.41

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Curveball

78.3

Whiff0.30 / 1.34

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

84.1

Ball1.22 / 2.17

#12 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Sinker

91.7

In Play-0.96 / 2.40

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

77.4

Ball-0.40 / 1.27

#14 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Cutter

87.1

Called Strike-0.46 / 1.84

#15 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Curveball

76.6

Ball-0.84 / 2.40

#16 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

91.8

Whiff-0.66 / 2.39

#17 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Cutter

86.2

Ball0.04 / 0.79

#18 / Inn 1 / 3-2

4-Seam

91.9

In Play-0.64 / 2.58

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.4	-0.52 / 2.13
2	1	0-1	Curveball	Ball	75.9	-0.93 / 2.10
3	1	1-1	Cutter	In Play	88.0	-0.27 / 2.46
4	1	0-0	Curveball	Called Strike	77.2	-0.17 / 2.16
5	1	0-1	Cutter	Ball	86.4	0.34 / 5.62
6	1	1-1	Sinker	Ball	91.9	-1.24 / 2.29
7	1	2-1	Cutter	Ball	87.5	-0.83 / 2.51
8	1	3-1	Cutter	Ball	86.8	-0.67 / 3.49
9	1	0-0	Cutter	Whiff	86.9	1.21 / 2.41
10	1	0-1	Curveball	Whiff	78.3	0.30 / 1.34
11	1	0-2	Slider	Ball	84.1	1.22 / 2.17
12	1	1-2	Sinker	In Play	91.7	-0.96 / 2.40
13	1	0-0	Curveball	Ball	77.4	-0.40 / 1.27
14	1	1-0	Cutter	Called Strike	87.1	-0.46 / 1.84
15	1	1-1	Curveball	Ball	76.6	-0.84 / 2.40
16	1	2-1	4-Seam	Whiff	91.8	-0.66 / 2.39
17	1	2-2	Cutter	Ball	86.2	0.04 / 0.79
18	1	3-2	4-Seam	In Play	91.9	-0.64 / 2.58

Velocity trend

82-97 MPH

85.4

Inn 1

86.2

Inn 2

84.3

Inn 3

83.9

Inn 4

85.5

Inn 5

Inning timeline

81 pitches

Inn 1

6 strikes3 whiffs3 in play91.9 max

Inn 2

4 strikes2 whiffs1 in play93.0 max

Inn 3

8 strikes2 whiffs5 in play91.6 max

Inn 4

7 strikes2 whiffs0 in play91.9 max

Inn 5

4 strikes0 whiffs4 in play91.4 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

5 ahead8 even5 behind4 2-strike

Inn 2

3 ahead7 even4 behind2 2-strike

Inn 3

7 ahead9 even2 behind4 2-strike

Inn 4

5 ahead8 even4 behind4 2-strike

Inn 5

4 ahead5 even5 behind2 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v7

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+14

4.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+0.9

+2.7 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

-0.2

-0.1 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

Sutter Health Park at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

+0.6

MIA live standings context: 47-42, +18 run differential.

Opponent offense

+0.6

Live offense context: 4.54 R/G, 0.732 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-1

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

81 pitches

CSW

36%

Whiff

27%

Zone

52%

Swing

41%

Curveball

Best CSW

42% CSW50% zone44% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

11%

91.6AVG / 92.7 MAX

9 thrown20% whiff

22% CSW78% zone56% swing

Sinker

15%

91.6AVG / 93.0 MAX

12 thrown50% whiff

42% CSW33% zone50% swing

Slider

82.7AVG / 85.1 MAX

3 thrown0% whiff

0% CSW33% zone67% swing

Changeup

85.2AVG / 85.6 MAX

2 thrown0% whiff

0% CSW0% zone50% swing

Curveball

32%

77.4AVG / 78.9 MAX

26 thrown44% whiff

42% CSW50% zone35% swing

Cutter

36%

87.3AVG / 89.1 MAX

29 thrown10% whiff

38% CSW59% zone34% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Aaron Civale

Aaron Civale