MIL at AZ / Chase Field

Merrill Kelly

5.0 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 50 / GS+ +3 adj

WIN

Average / Middle band

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-07-04

Merrill Kelly

AZ vs MIL / 5.0 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 63

Average / Middle band

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 90 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 90

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.8

Called Strike0.42 / 1.88

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Sinker

93.8

Foul-0.61 / 2.26

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-2

4-Seam

93.9

Ball-1.36 / 3.40

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Cutter

92.6

Ball-2.13 / 3.32

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Changeup

91.5

Ball-1.24 / 1.62

#6 / Inn 1 / 3-2

4-Seam

94.6

In Play0.14 / 3.08

#7 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.8

Ball0.50 / 3.66

#8 / Inn 1 / 1-0

4-Seam

93.8

Ball-0.31 / 3.76

#9 / Inn 1 / 2-0

4-Seam

94.2

Called Strike0.44 / 2.20

#10 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

93.4

In Play0.76 / 2.13

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

85.4

Ball-1.07 / 2.54

#12 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Changeup

90.2

Whiff-0.09 / 1.71

#13 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

94.6

Foul0.16 / 3.48

#14 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

94.7

Foul0.23 / 3.72

#15 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Curveball

85.3

Whiff0.59 / 1.74

#16 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

94.0

Foul-0.06 / 2.17

#17 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

94.2

Foul-0.08 / 3.68

#18 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Changeup

91.7

Whiff-0.51 / 1.33

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	93.8	0.42 / 1.88
2	1	0-1	Sinker	Foul	93.8	-0.61 / 2.26
3	1	0-2	4-Seam	Ball	93.9	-1.36 / 3.40
4	1	1-2	Cutter	Ball	92.6	-2.13 / 3.32
5	1	2-2	Changeup	Ball	91.5	-1.24 / 1.62
6	1	3-2	4-Seam	In Play	94.6	0.14 / 3.08
7	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	92.8	0.50 / 3.66
8	1	1-0	4-Seam	Ball	93.8	-0.31 / 3.76
9	1	2-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	94.2	0.44 / 2.20
10	1	2-1	4-Seam	In Play	93.4	0.76 / 2.13
11	1	0-0	Curveball	Ball	85.4	-1.07 / 2.54
12	1	1-0	Changeup	Whiff	90.2	-0.09 / 1.71
13	1	1-1	4-Seam	Foul	94.6	0.16 / 3.48
14	1	1-2	4-Seam	Foul	94.7	0.23 / 3.72
15	1	1-2	Curveball	Whiff	85.3	0.59 / 1.74
16	1	0-0	4-Seam	Foul	94.0	-0.06 / 2.17
17	1	0-1	4-Seam	Foul	94.2	-0.08 / 3.68
18	1	0-2	Changeup	Whiff	91.7	-0.51 / 1.33

Velocity trend

87-97 MPH

92.5

Inn 1

90.5

Inn 2

91.8

Inn 3

90.9

Inn 4

88.4

Inn 5

Inning timeline

90 pitches

Inn 1

5 strikes3 whiffs2 in play94.7 max

Inn 2

5 strikes2 whiffs2 in play94.2 max

Inn 3

6 strikes3 whiffs4 in play94.6 max

Inn 4

6 strikes2 whiffs3 in play93.6 max

Inn 5

4 strikes3 whiffs6 in play92.7 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

7 ahead6 even5 behind7 2-strike

Inn 2

5 ahead6 even3 behind6 2-strike

Inn 3

3 ahead12 even11 behind7 2-strike

Inn 4

4 ahead8 even5 behind2 2-strike

Inn 5

5 ahead8 even2 behind2 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Average

50-59 / Middle band

Solid start near the midpoint of the 20-80 display scale.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-9.6

8 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

+0.4

Chase Field at 1.03 run factor.

Opponent quality

+3.4

MIL live standings context: 54-33, +126 run differential.

Opponent offense

+1.3

Live offense context: 5.13 R/G, 0.736 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-5

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

90 pitches

CSW

29%

Whiff

30%

Zone

52%

Swing

49%

Changeup

Best CSW

41% CSW36% zone67% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

43%

93.2AVG / 94.7 MAX

39 thrown11% whiff

28% CSW64% zone46% swing

Sinker

93.5AVG / 94.6 MAX

8 thrown0% whiff

13% CSW75% zone63% swing

Slider

87.1AVG / 88.7 MAX

4 thrown0% whiff

0% CSW0% zone0% swing

Changeup

24%

89.9AVG / 91.7 MAX

22 thrown67% whiff

41% CSW36% zone55% swing

Curveball

12%

84.1AVG / 86.1 MAX

11 thrown50% whiff

36% CSW36% zone55% swing

Cutter

92.5AVG / 93.6 MAX

6 thrown0% whiff

17% CSW67% zone50% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Merrill Kelly

Merrill Kelly