STL at CHC / Wrigley Field

Matthew Liberatore

5.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 52 / GS+ -6 adj

LOSS

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-07-05

Matthew Liberatore

STL @ CHC / 5.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 57

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 72 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 72

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Changeup

90.1

Ball-1.39 / 0.97

#2 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Cutter

90.3

In Play-0.01 / 2.21

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Slider

85.6

Ball1.37 / 3.42

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-0

4-Seam

93.4

Foul0.36 / 2.74

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Cutter

90.7

Ball-0.63 / 3.55

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Changeup

89.3

Whiff0.65 / 1.87

#7 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Slider

87.6

Foul-1.01 / 1.80

#8 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

93.9

Ball-0.90 / 1.95

#9 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Slider

86.8

In Play0.79 / 2.73

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

80.8

Called Strike-0.38 / 3.36

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Changeup

88.2

Whiff0.17 / 2.39

#12 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

87.7

Called Strike-0.17 / 3.20

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Slider

87.3

Ball0.80 / 1.76

#14 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Changeup

88.7

Ball0.77 / 3.05

#15 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Changeup

88.1

Called Strike-0.24 / 2.50

#16 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

94.1

Ball-0.49 / 4.28

#17 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Slider

86.9

Called Strike-0.25 / 2.74

#18 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

82.1

Ball-0.78 / 1.38

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	Changeup	Ball	90.1	-1.39 / 0.97
2	1	1-0	Cutter	In Play	90.3	-0.01 / 2.21
3	1	0-0	Slider	Ball	85.6	1.37 / 3.42
4	1	1-0	4-Seam	Foul	93.4	0.36 / 2.74
5	1	1-1	Cutter	Ball	90.7	-0.63 / 3.55
6	1	2-1	Changeup	Whiff	89.3	0.65 / 1.87
7	1	2-2	Slider	Foul	87.6	-1.01 / 1.80
8	1	2-2	4-Seam	Ball	93.9	-0.90 / 1.95
9	1	3-2	Slider	In Play	86.8	0.79 / 2.73
10	1	0-0	Curveball	Called Strike	80.8	-0.38 / 3.36
11	1	0-1	Changeup	Whiff	88.2	0.17 / 2.39
12	1	0-2	Slider	Called Strike	87.7	-0.17 / 3.20
13	1	0-0	Slider	Ball	87.3	0.80 / 1.76
14	1	1-0	Changeup	Ball	88.7	0.77 / 3.05
15	1	2-0	Changeup	Called Strike	88.1	-0.24 / 2.50
16	1	2-1	4-Seam	Ball	94.1	-0.49 / 4.28
17	1	0-0	Slider	Called Strike	86.9	-0.25 / 2.74
18	1	0-0	Curveball	Ball	82.1	-0.78 / 1.38

Velocity trend

86-97 MPH

88.2

Inn 1

87.6

Inn 2

89.6

Inn 3

88.5

Inn 4

89.3

Inn 5

88.3

Inn 6

Inning timeline

72 pitches

Inn 1

8 strikes3 whiffs4 in play94.1 max

Inn 2

5 strikes2 whiffs2 in play94.1 max

Inn 3

2 strikes1 whiffs2 in play94.4 max

Inn 4

2 strikes0 whiffs3 in play95.3 max

Inn 5

4 strikes0 whiffs3 in play95.2 max

Inn 6

2 strikes0 whiffs1 in play94.8 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

3 ahead12 even8 behind4 2-strike

Inn 2

4 ahead6 even2 behind3 2-strike

Inn 3

2 ahead3 even2 behind1 2-strike

Inn 4

2 ahead4 even3 behind1 2-strike

Inn 5

2 ahead6 even6 behind4 2-strike

Inn 6

1 ahead2 even4 behind0 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points vs expected whiff rate.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph vs recent baseline.

Park context

+0.5

Wrigley Field at 1.04 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.3

CHC live standings context: 49-40, +44 run differential.

Opponent offense

+1.5

Live offense context: 5.06 R/G, 0.748 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-3

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

72 pitches

CSW

32%

Whiff

22%

Zone

61%

Swing

38%

Sinker

Best CSW

67% CSW100% zone0% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

28%

93.9AVG / 95.3 MAX

20 thrown13% whiff

20% CSW60% zone40% swing

Sinker

94.3AVG / 94.5 MAX

3 thrown0% whiff

67% CSW100% zone33% swing

Slider

29%

86.5AVG / 88.3 MAX

21 thrown22% whiff

38% CSW67% zone43% swing

Changeup

18%

88.7AVG / 90.1 MAX

13 thrown33% whiff

23% CSW62% zone46% swing

Curveball

15%

80.3AVG / 82.1 MAX

11 thrown50% whiff

45% CSW45% zone18% swing

Cutter

90.0AVG / 90.7 MAX

4 thrown0% whiff

25% CSW50% zone25% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Matthew Liberatore

Matthew Liberatore