MIL at STL / Busch Stadium

Hunter Dobbins

5.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 51 / GS+ -3 adj

LOSS

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-07-07

Hunter Dobbins

STL vs MIL / 5.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 58

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 90 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 90

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

95.4

Called Strike0.59 / 3.06

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Slider

88.6

Ball0.37 / 1.01

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

4-Seam

95.0

Ball1.59 / 3.26

#4 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

93.5

Ball1.59 / 1.51

#5 / Inn 1 / 3-1

4-Seam

94.2

Called Strike0.02 / 2.98

#6 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Slider

89.3

Foul-0.14 / 2.06

#7 / Inn 1 / 3-2

4-Seam

95.1

Foul-0.29 / 2.33

#8 / Inn 1 / 3-2

4-Seam

94.7

In Play0.51 / 2.11

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

94.4

Ball-0.36 / 3.57

#10 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Slider

87.9

Called Strike0.66 / 2.37

#11 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

88.3

Called Strike-0.53 / 3.06

#12 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

94.8

Ball1.79 / 2.21

#13 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Slider

89.6

Ball0.88 / 0.84

#14 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Slider

88.6

Foul0.31 / 2.56

#15 / Inn 1 / 3-2

4-Seam

95.0

In Play0.48 / 2.08

#16 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

95.4

Whiff-0.06 / 2.67

#17 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

93.4

Foul0.99 / 2.89

#18 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

87.1

In Play0.37 / 1.94

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	95.4	0.59 / 3.06
2	1	0-1	Slider	Ball	88.6	0.37 / 1.01
3	1	1-1	4-Seam	Ball	95.0	1.59 / 3.26
4	1	2-1	4-Seam	Ball	93.5	1.59 / 1.51
5	1	3-1	4-Seam	Called Strike	94.2	0.02 / 2.98
6	1	3-2	Slider	Foul	89.3	-0.14 / 2.06
7	1	3-2	4-Seam	Foul	95.1	-0.29 / 2.33
8	1	3-2	4-Seam	In Play	94.7	0.51 / 2.11
9	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	94.4	-0.36 / 3.57
10	1	1-0	Slider	Called Strike	87.9	0.66 / 2.37
11	1	1-1	Changeup	Called Strike	88.3	-0.53 / 3.06
12	1	1-2	4-Seam	Ball	94.8	1.79 / 2.21
13	1	2-2	Slider	Ball	89.6	0.88 / 0.84
14	1	3-2	Slider	Foul	88.6	0.31 / 2.56
15	1	3-2	4-Seam	In Play	95.0	0.48 / 2.08
16	1	0-0	4-Seam	Whiff	95.4	-0.06 / 2.67
17	1	0-1	4-Seam	Foul	93.4	0.99 / 2.89
18	1	0-2	Slider	In Play	87.1	0.37 / 1.94

Velocity trend

87-97 MPH

90.8

Inn 1

90.2

Inn 2

91.5

Inn 3

90.5

Inn 4

88.3

Inn 5

91.2

Inn 6

Inning timeline

90 pitches

Inn 1

7 strikes2 whiffs3 in play95.4 max

Inn 2

2 strikes0 whiffs3 in play95.0 max

Inn 3

3 strikes2 whiffs3 in play95.8 max

Inn 4

4 strikes1 whiffs2 in play95.6 max

Inn 5

6 strikes1 whiffs4 in play95.5 max

Inn 6

1 strikes0 whiffs0 in play92.6 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

4 ahead7 even13 behind9 2-strike

Inn 2

1 ahead5 even2 behind0 2-strike

Inn 3

4 ahead6 even2 behind3 2-strike

Inn 4

4 ahead7 even2 behind4 2-strike

Inn 5

11 ahead12 even5 behind8 2-strike

Inn 6

1 ahead2 even2 behind0 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points above league baseline.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph above league baseline.

Park context

-0.4

Busch Stadium at 0.97 run factor.

Opponent quality

+3.6

MIL live standings context: 58-33, +137 run differential.

Opponent offense

+1.2

Live offense context: 5.09 R/G, 0.734 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-3

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

90 pitches

CSW

26%

Whiff

17%

Zone

56%

Swing

40%

Curveball

Best CSW

75% CSW75% zone67% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

41%

94.2AVG / 95.8 MAX

37 thrown6% whiff

22% CSW65% zone49% swing

Sinker

13%

93.7AVG / 95.2 MAX

12 thrown0% whiff

17% CSW42% zone17% swing

Slider

32%

85.2AVG / 89.6 MAX

29 thrown20% whiff

28% CSW52% zone34% swing

Changeup

88.0AVG / 89.5 MAX

8 thrown33% whiff

25% CSW38% zone38% swing

Curveball

79.8AVG / 80.1 MAX

4 thrown67% whiff

75% CSW75% zone75% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Hunter Dobbins

Hunter Dobbins