ATL at PIT / PNC Park

Mitch Keller

3.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 40 / GS+ +2 adj

LOSS

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-07-09

Mitch Keller

PIT vs ATL / 3.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 53

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 71 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 71

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

91.9

Ball-1.41 / 3.57

#2 / Inn 1 / 1-0

4-Seam

93.6

Called Strike-0.05 / 1.89

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Cutter

90.9

Ball1.81 / 1.93

#4 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Sinker

93.0

In Play-0.12 / 3.08

#5 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Cutter

89.4

Foul0.62 / 2.13

#6 / Inn 1 / 0-1

4-Seam

94.0

Ball-1.02 / 3.62

#7 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Sinker

92.4

Called Strike-0.41 / 3.16

#8 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Slider

88.9

Foul0.88 / 1.50

#9 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

93.4

Ball-0.42 / 4.47

#10 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Curveball

77.6

Foul-0.82 / 1.36

#11 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Cutter

90.5

Whiff0.62 / 2.98

#12 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

91.9

Called Strike-0.54 / 2.69

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Cutter

88.9

In Play0.31 / 2.77

#14 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.2

In Play0.49 / 2.60

#15 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Sinker

90.8

Ball-1.59 / 3.96

#16 / Inn 2 / 1-0

Sinker

91.1

Called Strike-0.91 / 3.24

#17 / Inn 2 / 1-1

4-Seam

91.9

Foul-0.99 / 2.45

#18 / Inn 2 / 1-2

Slider

81.9

Ball2.21 / 1.98

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	Sinker	Ball	91.9	-1.41 / 3.57
2	1	1-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	93.6	-0.05 / 1.89
3	1	1-1	Cutter	Ball	90.9	1.81 / 1.93
4	1	2-1	Sinker	In Play	93.0	-0.12 / 3.08
5	1	0-0	Cutter	Foul	89.4	0.62 / 2.13
6	1	0-1	4-Seam	Ball	94.0	-1.02 / 3.62
7	1	1-1	Sinker	Called Strike	92.4	-0.41 / 3.16
8	1	1-2	Slider	Foul	88.9	0.88 / 1.50
9	1	1-2	4-Seam	Ball	93.4	-0.42 / 4.47
10	1	2-2	Curveball	Foul	77.6	-0.82 / 1.36
11	1	2-2	Cutter	Whiff	90.5	0.62 / 2.98
12	1	0-0	Sinker	Called Strike	91.9	-0.54 / 2.69
13	1	0-1	Cutter	In Play	88.9	0.31 / 2.77
14	1	0-0	4-Seam	In Play	93.2	0.49 / 2.60
15	2	0-0	Sinker	Ball	90.8	-1.59 / 3.96
16	2	1-0	Sinker	Called Strike	91.1	-0.91 / 3.24
17	2	1-1	4-Seam	Foul	91.9	-0.99 / 2.45
18	2	1-2	Slider	Ball	81.9	2.21 / 1.98

Velocity trend

88-97 MPH

90.7

Inn 1

89.7

Inn 2

89.4

Inn 3

Inning timeline

71 pitches

Inn 1

4 strikes1 whiffs3 in play94.0 max

Inn 2

7 strikes1 whiffs2 in play94.1 max

Inn 3

8 strikes3 whiffs5 in play95.1 max

Count leverage

3 innings

Inn 1

4 ahead8 even2 behind4 2-strike

Inn 2

6 ahead10 even7 behind5 2-strike

Inn 3

12 ahead15 even7 behind21 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

3.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points above league baseline.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph above league baseline.

Park context

-0.2

PNC Park at 0.98 run factor.

Opponent quality

+2.3

ATL live standings context: 53-38, +90 run differential.

Opponent offense

+0.9

Live offense context: 4.89 R/G, 0.727 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-1

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

71 pitches

CSW

27%

Whiff

16%

Zone

49%

Swing

45%

Sinker

Best CSW

36% CSW68% zone0% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

25%

93.7AVG / 95.1 MAX

18 thrown17% whiff

28% CSW50% zone33% swing

Sinker

31%

92.7AVG / 94.4 MAX

22 thrown0% whiff

36% CSW68% zone41% swing

Slider

20%

84.0AVG / 88.9 MAX

14 thrown43% whiff

36% CSW29% zone50% swing

Changeup

88.9AVG / 89.6 MAX

5 thrown0% whiff

0% CSW20% zone40% swing

Curveball

77.8AVG / 78.2 MAX

4 thrown0% whiff

0% CSW25% zone100% swing

Cutter

11%

89.7AVG / 91.1 MAX

8 thrown25% whiff

13% CSW63% zone50% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Mitch Keller

Mitch Keller