KC at BAL / Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Seth Lugo

4.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 52 / GS+ 0 adj

Average / Middle band

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-07-12

Seth Lugo

KC @ BAL / 4.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 61

Average / Middle band

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 86 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 86

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

89.0

Called Strike-0.39 / 2.82

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Sinker

88.3

Ball-0.59 / 1.24

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

83.8

Foul-1.16 / 2.49

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Slider

84.8

Ball1.11 / 1.19

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Curveball

78.7

Ball-1.20 / 2.15

#6 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Cutter

89.2

In Play0.01 / 2.37

#7 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Curveball

74.8

Ball-1.28 / 3.17

#8 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Sinker

91.0

Called Strike-0.36 / 2.07

#9 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Slider

85.3

Ball1.30 / 1.44

#10 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Slider

84.7

Ball0.94 / 1.99

#11 / Inn 1 / 3-1

Sinker

90.9

Called Strike-0.80 / 2.20

#12 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Sinker

92.0

Foul-0.77 / 2.42

#13 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Sinker

92.4

In Play-0.77 / 2.05

#14 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.4

Called Strike-0.83 / 2.38

#15 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Curveball

76.9

Called Strike-0.31 / 2.85

#16 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Cutter

89.1

Ball1.41 / 2.55

#17 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Curveball

76.2

Called Strike-0.90 / 2.76

#18 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Sinker

92.5

Foul0.09 / 3.14

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	89.0	-0.39 / 2.82
2	1	0-1	Sinker	Ball	88.3	-0.59 / 1.24
3	1	1-1	Changeup	Foul	83.8	-1.16 / 2.49
4	1	1-2	Slider	Ball	84.8	1.11 / 1.19
5	1	2-2	Curveball	Ball	78.7	-1.20 / 2.15
6	1	3-2	Cutter	In Play	89.2	0.01 / 2.37
7	1	0-0	Curveball	Ball	74.8	-1.28 / 3.17
8	1	1-0	Sinker	Called Strike	91.0	-0.36 / 2.07
9	1	1-1	Slider	Ball	85.3	1.30 / 1.44
10	1	2-1	Slider	Ball	84.7	0.94 / 1.99
11	1	3-1	Sinker	Called Strike	90.9	-0.80 / 2.20
12	1	3-2	Sinker	Foul	92.0	-0.77 / 2.42
13	1	3-2	Sinker	In Play	92.4	-0.77 / 2.05
14	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.4	-0.83 / 2.38
15	1	0-1	Curveball	Called Strike	76.9	-0.31 / 2.85
16	1	0-0	Cutter	Ball	89.1	1.41 / 2.55
17	1	1-0	Curveball	Called Strike	76.2	-0.90 / 2.76
18	1	1-1	Sinker	Foul	92.5	0.09 / 3.14

Velocity trend

80-97 MPH

86.2

Inn 1

87.2

Inn 2

81.8

Inn 3

84.3

Inn 4

Inning timeline

86 pitches

Inn 1

9 strikes1 whiffs3 in play92.5 max

Inn 2

8 strikes4 whiffs4 in play94.8 max

Inn 3

6 strikes4 whiffs2 in play91.4 max

Inn 4

5 strikes2 whiffs1 in play92.3 max

Count leverage

4 innings

Inn 1

4 ahead10 even12 behind8 2-strike

Inn 2

8 ahead12 even10 behind9 2-strike

Inn 3

6 ahead9 even4 behind8 2-strike

Inn 4

4 ahead6 even1 behind2 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Average

50-59 / Middle band

Solid start near the midpoint of the 20-80 display scale.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+12

4.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points above league baseline.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph above league baseline.

Park context

+0.1

Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

-0.7

BAL live standings context: 45-51, -25 run differential.

Opponent offense

+0.4

Live offense context: 4.55 R/G, 0.719 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-4

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

86 pitches

CSW

33%

Whiff

32%

Zone

53%

Swing

40%

Cutter

Best CSW

53% CSW73% zone63% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

13%

91.8AVG / 94.8 MAX

11 thrown0% whiff

27% CSW73% zone36% swing

Sinker

16%

91.5AVG / 94.2 MAX

14 thrown0% whiff

36% CSW71% zone36% swing

Slider

22%

82.1AVG / 87.8 MAX

19 thrown13% whiff

11% CSW47% zone42% swing

Changeup

12%

84.7AVG / 86.6 MAX

10 thrown50% whiff

20% CSW20% zone40% swing

Curveball

20%

76.4AVG / 80.5 MAX

17 thrown60% whiff

47% CSW35% zone29% swing

Cutter

17%

89.6AVG / 91.4 MAX

15 thrown63% whiff

53% CSW73% zone53% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Seth Lugo

Seth Lugo