NYM at PHI / Citizens Bank Park

Aaron Nola

6.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 6 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 53 / GS+ -8 adj

LOSS

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-07-16

Aaron Nola

PHI vs NYM / 6.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 6 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 62

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 95 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 95

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.5

Ball0.12 / 1.45

#2 / Inn 1 / 1-0

4-Seam

91.8

Called Strike-0.32 / 1.35

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

85.5

Whiff-1.27 / 1.47

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Changeup

84.3

Whiff-0.67 / 1.32

#5 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.6

Ball0.31 / 0.96

#6 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Curveball

77.5

Called Strike-0.13 / 2.03

#7 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

86.1

Whiff-0.59 / 1.39

#8 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Sinker

93.3

Ball0.91 / 1.33

#9 / Inn 1 / 2-2

4-Seam

93.1

Ball0.02 / 0.69

#10 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Changeup

86.5

In Play-0.61 / 1.51

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.5

Called Strike-0.19 / 2.54

#12 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Curveball

76.5

Whiff0.23 / 1.49

#13 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Curveball

77.7

Foul0.80 / 1.13

#14 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Sinker

91.5

Ball1.28 / 2.64

#15 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

92.0

In Play-1.11 / 2.56

#16 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

90.0

In Play-0.35 / 1.63

#17 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Curveball

75.3

Called Strike-0.37 / 2.14

#18 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Curveball

77.2

Ball0.34 / 0.42

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.5	0.12 / 1.45
2	1	1-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.8	-0.32 / 1.35
3	1	1-1	Changeup	Whiff	85.5	-1.27 / 1.47
4	1	1-2	Changeup	Whiff	84.3	-0.67 / 1.32
5	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	92.6	0.31 / 0.96
6	1	1-0	Curveball	Called Strike	77.5	-0.13 / 2.03
7	1	1-1	Changeup	Whiff	86.1	-0.59 / 1.39
8	1	1-2	Sinker	Ball	93.3	0.91 / 1.33
9	1	2-2	4-Seam	Ball	93.1	0.02 / 0.69
10	1	3-2	Changeup	In Play	86.5	-0.61 / 1.51
11	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.5	-0.19 / 2.54
12	1	0-1	Curveball	Whiff	76.5	0.23 / 1.49
13	1	0-2	Curveball	Foul	77.7	0.80 / 1.13
14	1	0-2	Sinker	Ball	91.5	1.28 / 2.64
15	1	1-2	4-Seam	In Play	92.0	-1.11 / 2.56
16	2	0-0	4-Seam	In Play	90.0	-0.35 / 1.63
17	2	0-0	Curveball	Called Strike	75.3	-0.37 / 2.14
18	2	0-1	Curveball	Ball	77.2	0.34 / 0.42

Velocity trend

80-97 MPH

87.4

Inn 1

84.2

Inn 2

83.8

Inn 3

81.9

Inn 4

85.4

Inn 5

82.4

Inn 6

86.2

Inn 7

Inning timeline

95 pitches

Inn 1

7 strikes4 whiffs2 in play93.3 max

Inn 2

4 strikes2 whiffs3 in play92.2 max

Inn 3

7 strikes3 whiffs2 in play93.7 max

Inn 4

2 strikes1 whiffs3 in play91.0 max

Inn 5

5 strikes2 whiffs3 in play92.8 max

Inn 6

8 strikes4 whiffs2 in play92.0 max

Inn 7

1 strikes0 whiffs2 in play93.6 max

Count leverage

7 innings

Inn 1

6 ahead6 even3 behind7 2-strike

Inn 2

4 ahead6 even1 behind3 2-strike

Inn 3

8 ahead7 even4 behind5 2-strike

Inn 4

3 ahead4 even0 behind1 2-strike

Inn 5

4 ahead9 even9 behind5 2-strike

Inn 6

4 ahead7 even3 behind3 2-strike

Inn 7

2 ahead3 even2 behind0 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-6

4 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points above league baseline.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph above league baseline.

Park context

+0.1

Citizens Bank Park at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

-1.9

NYM live standings context: 40-57, -65 run differential.

Opponent offense

-0.8

Live offense context: 4.07 R/G, 0.683 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-3

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

95 pitches

CSW

36%

Whiff

36%

Zone

40%

Swing

47%

Curveball

Best CSW

57% CSW41% zone67% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

20%

91.8AVG / 93.7 MAX

19 thrown0% whiff

11% CSW42% zone47% swing

Sinker

16%

91.9AVG / 93.3 MAX

15 thrown33% whiff

33% CSW40% zone20% swing

Slider

82.4AVG / 82.4 MAX

1 thrown0% whiff

0% CSW100% zone100% swing

Changeup

21%

85.2AVG / 86.9 MAX

20 thrown29% whiff

25% CSW40% zone70% swing

Curveball

39%

77.5AVG / 79.2 MAX

37 thrown67% whiff

57% CSW41% zone41% swing

Cutter

86.9AVG / 87.5 MAX

3 thrown33% whiff

33% CSW0% zone100% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola