STL at AZ / Chase Field

Merrill Kelly

5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 58 / GS+ -6 adj

Average / Middle band

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-07-17

Merrill Kelly

AZ vs STL / 5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 57

Average / Middle band

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 85 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 85

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

90.8

In Play-0.25 / 2.43

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.8

Called Strike0.35 / 2.64

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Slider

85.3

Foul-0.04 / 2.02

#4 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Changeup

89.0

In Play0.46 / 1.43

#5 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Changeup

88.8

Ball-0.21 / 0.93

#6 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Curveball

83.0

Ball-1.50 / 2.91

#7 / Inn 1 / 2-0

4-Seam

93.0

Called Strike-0.46 / 2.92

#8 / Inn 1 / 2-1

Changeup

89.1

In Play-0.06 / 1.75

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Slider

86.1

Called Strike-0.74 / 3.09

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Sinker

93.5

Foul-1.19 / 2.19

#11 / Inn 1 / 0-2

Slider

86.5

Ball0.94 / 1.86

#12 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Sinker

94.0

Ball1.40 / 2.44

#13 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Changeup

90.5

Foul-0.91 / 1.74

#14 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Sinker

93.9

Ball-1.22 / 1.77

#15 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Changeup

89.6

Ball0.15 / 1.02

#16 / Inn 1 / 1-0

4-Seam

94.2

Ball1.17 / 2.47

#17 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Curveball

84.8

Called Strike-0.55 / 2.13

#18 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

93.7

Ball1.51 / 3.30

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	In Play	90.8	-0.25 / 2.43
2	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.8	0.35 / 2.64
3	1	0-1	Slider	Foul	85.3	-0.04 / 2.02
4	1	0-2	Changeup	In Play	89.0	0.46 / 1.43
5	1	0-0	Changeup	Ball	88.8	-0.21 / 0.93
6	1	1-0	Curveball	Ball	83.0	-1.50 / 2.91
7	1	2-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	93.0	-0.46 / 2.92
8	1	2-1	Changeup	In Play	89.1	-0.06 / 1.75
9	1	0-0	Slider	Called Strike	86.1	-0.74 / 3.09
10	1	0-1	Sinker	Foul	93.5	-1.19 / 2.19
11	1	0-2	Slider	Ball	86.5	0.94 / 1.86
12	1	1-2	Sinker	Ball	94.0	1.40 / 2.44
13	1	2-2	Changeup	Foul	90.5	-0.91 / 1.74
14	1	2-2	Sinker	Ball	93.9	-1.22 / 1.77
15	1	0-0	Changeup	Ball	89.6	0.15 / 1.02
16	1	1-0	4-Seam	Ball	94.2	1.17 / 2.47
17	1	2-0	Curveball	Called Strike	84.8	-0.55 / 2.13
18	1	2-1	4-Seam	Ball	93.7	1.51 / 3.30

Velocity trend

86-97 MPH

90.1

Inn 1

91.0

Inn 2

89.0

Inn 3

89.5

Inn 4

87.4

Inn 5

Inning timeline

85 pitches

Inn 1

8 strikes1 whiffs5 in play94.8 max

Inn 2

3 strikes2 whiffs2 in play93.3 max

Inn 3

4 strikes2 whiffs2 in play92.8 max

Inn 4

3 strikes2 whiffs3 in play92.8 max

Inn 5

3 strikes2 whiffs4 in play92.4 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

7 ahead11 even9 behind8 2-strike

Inn 2

5 ahead8 even3 behind6 2-strike

Inn 3

7 ahead4 even0 behind4 2-strike

Inn 4

5 ahead5 even3 behind5 2-strike

Inn 5

9 ahead6 even3 behind6 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Average

50-59 / Middle band

Solid start near the midpoint of the 20-80 display scale.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned run allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points above league baseline.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph above league baseline.

Park context

+0.4

Chase Field at 1.03 run factor.

Opponent quality

+0.4

STL live standings context: 50-45, +6 run differential.

Opponent offense

+0.1

Live offense context: 4.50 R/G, 0.708 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-5

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

85 pitches

CSW

25%

Whiff

19%

Zone

47%

Swing

56%

Curveball

Best CSW

38% CSW46% zone20% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

33%

92.4AVG / 94.8 MAX

28 thrown9% whiff

29% CSW54% zone39% swing

Sinker

93.5AVG / 94.0 MAX

6 thrown0% whiff

0% CSW17% zone33% swing

Slider

86.1AVG / 86.8 MAX

6 thrown0% whiff

17% CSW67% zone50% swing

Changeup

26%

88.9AVG / 90.5 MAX

22 thrown29% whiff

23% CSW27% zone77% swing

Curveball

15%

82.9AVG / 84.8 MAX

13 thrown20% whiff

38% CSW46% zone38% swing

Cutter

12%

90.8AVG / 92.1 MAX

10 thrown20% whiff

20% CSW80% zone100% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Merrill Kelly

Merrill Kelly