CHC at AZ / Chase Field

Merrill Kelly

5.2 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 53 / GS+ -3 adj

LOSS

Average / Middle band

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-08-24

Merrill Kelly

AZ vs CHC / 5.2 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 59

Average / Middle band

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 98 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 98

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.0

Ball-0.21 / 3.81

#2 / Inn 1 / 1-0

4-Seam

92.1

Called Strike0.32 / 3.01

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Sinker

92.9

In Play0.02 / 2.22

#4 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.5

Ball0.87 / 1.57

#5 / Inn 1 / 1-0

4-Seam

93.2

Ball1.59 / 1.28

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-0

4-Seam

94.0

Ball1.49 / 1.87

#7 / Inn 1 / 3-0

Sinker

93.8

In Play0.26 / 1.77

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.6

Ball-1.24 / 3.18

#9 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Curveball

82.4

Ball-1.19 / 2.79

#10 / Inn 1 / 2-0

Curveball

81.9

Ball-1.00 / 3.45

#11 / Inn 1 / 3-0

4-Seam

92.1

Called Strike-0.99 / 2.41

#12 / Inn 1 / 3-1

Changeup

89.2

Called Strike-0.49 / 2.70

#13 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Changeup

89.9

Foul-1.47 / 2.19

#14 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Changeup

89.9

Whiff0.19 / 1.12

#15 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Sinker

92.1

Called Strike-0.64 / 2.42

#16 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Changeup

88.5

Foul0.27 / 2.09

#17 / Inn 2 / 0-2

Changeup

89.4

In Play-0.65 / 1.85

#18 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Curveball

81.6

Called Strike-0.35 / 2.04

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	92.0	-0.21 / 3.81
2	1	1-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.1	0.32 / 3.01
3	1	1-1	Sinker	In Play	92.9	0.02 / 2.22
4	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	93.5	0.87 / 1.57
5	1	1-0	4-Seam	Ball	93.2	1.59 / 1.28
6	1	2-0	4-Seam	Ball	94.0	1.49 / 1.87
7	1	3-0	Sinker	In Play	93.8	0.26 / 1.77
8	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	92.6	-1.24 / 3.18
9	1	1-0	Curveball	Ball	82.4	-1.19 / 2.79
10	1	2-0	Curveball	Ball	81.9	-1.00 / 3.45
11	1	3-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.1	-0.99 / 2.41
12	1	3-1	Changeup	Called Strike	89.2	-0.49 / 2.70
13	1	3-2	Changeup	Foul	89.9	-1.47 / 2.19
14	1	3-2	Changeup	Whiff	89.9	0.19 / 1.12
15	2	0-0	Sinker	Called Strike	92.1	-0.64 / 2.42
16	2	0-1	Changeup	Foul	88.5	0.27 / 2.09
17	2	0-2	Changeup	In Play	89.4	-0.65 / 1.85
18	2	0-0	Curveball	Called Strike	81.6	-0.35 / 2.04

Velocity trend

87-97 MPH

90.7

Inn 1

89.8

Inn 2

89.2

Inn 3

88.8

Inn 4

89.6

Inn 5

90.9

Inn 6

Inning timeline

98 pitches

Inn 1

4 strikes1 whiffs2 in play94.0 max

Inn 2

5 strikes2 whiffs5 in play95.1 max

Inn 3

7 strikes3 whiffs1 in play94.6 max

Inn 4

4 strikes2 whiffs2 in play93.0 max

Inn 5

5 strikes3 whiffs5 in play94.5 max

Inn 6

1 strikes0 whiffs3 in play93.8 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

0 ahead4 even10 behind2 2-strike

Inn 2

9 ahead10 even8 behind7 2-strike

Inn 3

4 ahead7 even4 behind3 2-strike

Inn 4

4 ahead3 even4 behind2 2-strike

Inn 5

4 ahead13 even4 behind6 2-strike

Inn 6

1 ahead6 even3 behind2 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Average

50-59 / Middle band

Solid start near the midpoint of the 20-80 display scale.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+17

5.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+2.9

+8.4 pct points above league baseline.

Velocity context

+1.2

+0.7 mph above league baseline.

Park context

+0.4

Chase Field at 1.03 run factor.

Opponent quality

CHC live standings context: 75-56, +115 run differential.

Opponent offense

+1.9

Live offense context: 5.23 R/G, 0.763 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-4

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

98 pitches

CSW

27%

Whiff

24%

Zone

47%

Swing

46%

Cutter

Best CSW

50% CSW50% zone50% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

26%

92.9AVG / 94.5 MAX

25 thrown0% whiff

12% CSW48% zone44% swing

Sinker

93.5AVG / 95.1 MAX

9 thrown0% whiff

33% CSW78% zone44% swing

Slider

17%

87.0AVG / 89.3 MAX

17 thrown50% whiff

29% CSW41% zone47% swing

Changeup

29%

89.6AVG / 90.7 MAX

28 thrown33% whiff

25% CSW36% zone64% swing

Curveball

11%

83.3AVG / 84.9 MAX

11 thrown0% whiff

36% CSW55% zone18% swing

Cutter

91.6AVG / 92.5 MAX

8 thrown50% whiff

50% CSW50% zone25% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Merrill Kelly

Merrill Kelly