SD at TB / Tropicana Field

Casey Mize

5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 51 / GS+ -7 adj

LOSS

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-08-28

Casey Mize

SD @ TB / 5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 1 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 55

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 74 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 74

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

90.5

In Play0.33 / 3.18

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

90.2

Called Strike0.20 / 2.60

#3 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Slider

84.6

Ball-0.87 / 3.08

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Slider

86.3

Ball-1.02 / 2.72

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

91.7

Foul-0.46 / 2.96

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Changeup

87.4

Called Strike0.33 / 2.11

#7 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.7

Ball0.14 / 3.78

#8 / Inn 1 / 1-0

4-Seam

92.4

In Play-0.05 / 3.22

#9 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

89.6

In Play-0.43 / 2.46

#10 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Slider

84.9

Ball0.25 / 0.64

#11 / Inn 2 / 1-0

Slider

87.6

Ball-0.70 / 1.57

#12 / Inn 2 / 2-0

4-Seam

90.4

In Play0.00 / 2.32

#13 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Slider

88.6

Called Strike0.37 / 2.43

#14 / Inn 2 / 0-1

4-Seam

92.0

Foul0.47 / 2.61

#15 / Inn 2 / 0-2

4-Seam

93.8

Ball1.11 / 4.51

#16 / Inn 2 / 1-2

Slider

80.4

Ball1.35 / 1.03

#17 / Inn 2 / 2-2

4-Seam

94.1

Foul0.88 / 3.12

#18 / Inn 2 / 2-2

4-Seam

92.6

In Play0.46 / 2.96

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	In Play	90.5	0.33 / 3.18
2	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	90.2	0.20 / 2.60
3	1	0-1	Slider	Ball	84.6	-0.87 / 3.08
4	1	1-1	Slider	Ball	86.3	-1.02 / 2.72
5	1	2-1	4-Seam	Foul	91.7	-0.46 / 2.96
6	1	2-2	Changeup	Called Strike	87.4	0.33 / 2.11
7	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.7	0.14 / 3.78
8	1	1-0	4-Seam	In Play	92.4	-0.05 / 3.22
9	2	0-0	4-Seam	In Play	89.6	-0.43 / 2.46
10	2	0-0	Slider	Ball	84.9	0.25 / 0.64
11	2	1-0	Slider	Ball	87.6	-0.70 / 1.57
12	2	2-0	4-Seam	In Play	90.4	0.00 / 2.32
13	2	0-0	Slider	Called Strike	88.6	0.37 / 2.43
14	2	0-1	4-Seam	Foul	92.0	0.47 / 2.61
15	2	0-2	4-Seam	Ball	93.8	1.11 / 4.51
16	2	1-2	Slider	Ball	80.4	1.35 / 1.03
17	2	2-2	4-Seam	Foul	94.1	0.88 / 3.12
18	2	2-2	4-Seam	In Play	92.6	0.46 / 2.96

Velocity trend

86-97 MPH

89.3

Inn 1

89.1

Inn 2

89.2

Inn 3

88.8

Inn 4

87.3

Inn 5

Inning timeline

74 pitches

Inn 1

2 strikes0 whiffs2 in play92.4 max

Inn 2

1 strikes0 whiffs4 in play94.1 max

Inn 3

2 strikes0 whiffs4 in play92.4 max

Inn 4

8 strikes1 whiffs7 in play93.8 max

Inn 5

3 strikes0 whiffs5 in play91.8 max

Count leverage

5 innings

Inn 1

1 ahead5 even2 behind1 2-strike

Inn 2

3 ahead6 even2 behind4 2-strike

Inn 3

3 ahead5 even1 behind0 2-strike

Inn 4

10 ahead13 even8 behind8 2-strike

Inn 5

2 ahead9 even4 behind1 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+2.2

1 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+0.9

+2.7 pct points above league baseline.

Velocity context

-0.2

-0.1 mph above league baseline.

Park context

Tropicana Field at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.5

TB live standings context: 79-54, +47 run differential.

Opponent offense

+0.6

Live offense context: 4.51 R/G, 0.732 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-2

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

74 pitches

CSW

22%

Whiff

Zone

59%

Swing

46%

Slider

Best CSW

34% CSW62% zone11% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

39%

92.0AVG / 94.1 MAX

29 thrown0% whiff

17% CSW59% zone55% swing

Sinker

91.6AVG / 92.4 MAX

3 thrown0% whiff

0% CSW33% zone67% swing

Slider

39%

85.9AVG / 89.5 MAX

29 thrown11% whiff

34% CSW62% zone31% swing

Changeup

18%

86.6AVG / 87.7 MAX

13 thrown0% whiff

8% CSW62% zone54% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Casey Mize

Casey Mize