SD at CIN / Great American Ball Park

Casey Mize

4.0 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 4 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 44 / GS+ -4 adj

LOSS

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-09-02

Casey Mize

SD @ CIN / 4.0 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 4 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 58

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 82 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 82

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.5

In Play-0.82 / 2.61

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.9

Ball-0.96 / 2.46

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Slider

87.2

Called Strike-0.35 / 3.28

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Changeup

86.7

Ball-1.27 / 2.37

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-1

4-Seam

93.1

Foul-0.07 / 2.40

#6 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Changeup

87.4

Foul-0.59 / 2.58

#7 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Changeup

88.1

In Play-1.07 / 3.05

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

93.6

Foul0.29 / 3.30

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Slider

79.8

Ball0.62 / 1.86

#10 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Sinker

94.8

Whiff-0.17 / 3.66

#11 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

94.8

Foul0.38 / 3.24

#12 / Inn 1 / 1-2

4-Seam

94.2

Ball1.13 / 2.02

#13 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Slider

82.2

Ball0.84 / 1.15

#14 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Sinker

95.7

In Play0.34 / 2.70

#15 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Slider

84.8

Ball-2.07 / 3.92

#16 / Inn 1 / 1-0

Changeup

88.6

In Play-0.06 / 2.26

#17 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.8

Ball-0.13 / 3.95

#18 / Inn 2 / 1-0

4-Seam

91.7

Ball0.85 / 2.56

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	4-Seam	In Play	91.5	-0.82 / 2.61
2	1	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.9	-0.96 / 2.46
3	1	1-0	Slider	Called Strike	87.2	-0.35 / 3.28
4	1	1-1	Changeup	Ball	86.7	-1.27 / 2.37
5	1	2-1	4-Seam	Foul	93.1	-0.07 / 2.40
6	1	2-2	Changeup	Foul	87.4	-0.59 / 2.58
7	1	2-2	Changeup	In Play	88.1	-1.07 / 3.05
8	1	0-0	4-Seam	Foul	93.6	0.29 / 3.30
9	1	0-1	Slider	Ball	79.8	0.62 / 1.86
10	1	1-1	Sinker	Whiff	94.8	-0.17 / 3.66
11	1	1-2	4-Seam	Foul	94.8	0.38 / 3.24
12	1	1-2	4-Seam	Ball	94.2	1.13 / 2.02
13	1	2-2	Slider	Ball	82.2	0.84 / 1.15
14	1	3-2	Sinker	In Play	95.7	0.34 / 2.70
15	1	0-0	Slider	Ball	84.8	-2.07 / 3.92
16	1	1-0	Changeup	In Play	88.6	-0.06 / 2.26
17	2	0-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.8	-0.13 / 3.95
18	2	1-0	4-Seam	Ball	91.7	0.85 / 2.56

Velocity trend

87-97 MPH

89.6

Inn 1

89.5

Inn 2

91.2

Inn 3

88.1

Inn 4

Inning timeline

82 pitches

Inn 1

2 strikes1 whiffs4 in play95.7 max

Inn 2

8 strikes4 whiffs4 in play95.2 max

Inn 3

5 strikes2 whiffs3 in play96.4 max

Inn 4

4 strikes3 whiffs2 in play93.5 max

Count leverage

4 innings

Inn 1

3 ahead9 even4 behind6 2-strike

Inn 2

9 ahead15 even7 behind9 2-strike

Inn 3

14 ahead4 even0 behind11 2-strike

Inn 4

1 ahead8 even8 behind4 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+12

4.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points above league baseline.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph above league baseline.

Park context

Great American Ball Park at 1.08 run factor.

Opponent quality

-1.5

CIN live standings context: 66-73, -112 run differential.

Opponent offense

-0.3

Live offense context: 4.15 R/G, 0.703 OPS.

Arsenal quality

82 pitches

CSW

23%

Whiff

22%

Zone

48%

Swing

56%

Sinker

Best CSW

50% CSW50% zone50% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

41%

93.5AVG / 96.4 MAX

34 thrown15% whiff

21% CSW47% zone59% swing

Sinker

94.8AVG / 95.7 MAX

6 thrown50% whiff

50% CSW50% zone67% swing

Slider

33%

84.9AVG / 88.4 MAX

27 thrown17% whiff

22% CSW52% zone44% swing

Changeup

18%

87.2AVG / 88.6 MAX

15 thrown30% whiff

20% CSW40% zone67% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Casey Mize

Casey Mize