AZ at HOU / Daikin Park

Merrill Kelly

6.0 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 4 K

MLB gamefeed line / Ranked from live gamefeed stats / Pitch chart from MLB gamefeed

Game Score+

GSv2 57 / GS+ -10 adj

LOSS

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitcher page

Start log / 2026-09-04

Merrill Kelly

AZ @ HOU / 6.0 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 4 K

Game Score+

xGS+ 65

Below average / Lower 35%

Pitch location / catcher view

Pitch type

Dot size

Result

Count sequence / 94 shown

Pitch-by-pitch sequence

First 18 pitches matching active type, result, and count filters

18 of 94

#1 / Inn 1 / 0-0

Sinker

91.1

Foul-0.38 / 1.86

#2 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Slider

85.1

Ball2.24 / 0.82

#3 / Inn 1 / 1-1

Curveball

83.1

Whiff0.85 / 1.10

#4 / Inn 1 / 1-2

Changeup

89.2

Ball0.10 / 0.24

#5 / Inn 1 / 2-2

Curveball

83.5

Ball1.11 / 0.49

#6 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Curveball

83.7

Foul0.35 / 1.73

#7 / Inn 1 / 3-2

Sinker

94.0

In Play-0.09 / 2.62

#8 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.2

In Play0.30 / 3.42

#9 / Inn 1 / 0-0

4-Seam

92.5

Called Strike0.13 / 2.54

#10 / Inn 1 / 0-1

Changeup

89.8

In Play0.05 / 1.33

#11 / Inn 2 / 0-0

Slider

84.2

Called Strike0.37 / 2.10

#12 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Slider

84.6

In Play0.70 / 1.98

#13 / Inn 2 / 0-0

4-Seam

91.9

Called Strike0.35 / 3.04

#14 / Inn 2 / 0-1

Changeup

88.4

Ball-1.09 / 2.03

#15 / Inn 2 / 1-1

4-Seam

92.6

Foul0.77 / 2.57

#16 / Inn 2 / 1-2

Curveball

83.0

Foul-0.56 / 1.88

#17 / Inn 2 / 1-2

4-Seam

93.1

Ball0.43 / 3.83

#18 / Inn 2 / 2-2

Changeup

90.0

Foul-0.42 / 1.21

#	Inn	Count	Pitch	Result	Velo	Location
1	1	0-0	Sinker	Foul	91.1	-0.38 / 1.86
2	1	0-1	Slider	Ball	85.1	2.24 / 0.82
3	1	1-1	Curveball	Whiff	83.1	0.85 / 1.10
4	1	1-2	Changeup	Ball	89.2	0.10 / 0.24
5	1	2-2	Curveball	Ball	83.5	1.11 / 0.49
6	1	3-2	Curveball	Foul	83.7	0.35 / 1.73
7	1	3-2	Sinker	In Play	94.0	-0.09 / 2.62
8	1	0-0	4-Seam	In Play	92.2	0.30 / 3.42
9	1	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	92.5	0.13 / 2.54
10	1	0-1	Changeup	In Play	89.8	0.05 / 1.33
11	2	0-0	Slider	Called Strike	84.2	0.37 / 2.10
12	2	0-1	Slider	In Play	84.6	0.70 / 1.98
13	2	0-0	4-Seam	Called Strike	91.9	0.35 / 3.04
14	2	0-1	Changeup	Ball	88.4	-1.09 / 2.03
15	2	1-1	4-Seam	Foul	92.6	0.77 / 2.57
16	2	1-2	Curveball	Foul	83.0	-0.56 / 1.88
17	2	1-2	4-Seam	Ball	93.1	0.43 / 3.83
18	2	2-2	Changeup	Foul	90.0	-0.42 / 1.21

Velocity trend

85-97 MPH

88.4

Inn 1

89.2

Inn 2

89.1

Inn 3

88.7

Inn 4

89.7

Inn 5

86.9

Inn 6

Inning timeline

94 pitches

Inn 1

2 strikes1 whiffs3 in play94.0 max

Inn 2

4 strikes2 whiffs4 in play94.3 max

Inn 3

5 strikes3 whiffs6 in play93.0 max

Inn 4

3 strikes1 whiffs3 in play93.1 max

Inn 5

5 strikes3 whiffs2 in play93.1 max

Inn 6

1 strikes0 whiffs3 in play91.7 max

Count leverage

6 innings

Inn 1

3 ahead5 even2 behind4 2-strike

Inn 2

4 ahead8 even6 behind6 2-strike

Inn 3

4 ahead10 even8 behind5 2-strike

Inn 4

7 ahead7 even1 behind5 2-strike

Inn 5

13 ahead7 even1 behind12 2-strike

Inn 6

0 ahead3 even5 behind0 2-strike

Game Score+ why

context-v8

Below average

40-49 / Lower 35%

Below-average start after line and context adjustments.

Baseline

+45

Neutral starting point for every outing.

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-8.4

7 hits allowed.

Free passes

0 walks allowed.

Whiff context

+1.8

+5.1 pct points above league baseline.

Velocity context

+0.5

+0.3 mph above league baseline.

Park context

-0.1

Daikin Park at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

-0.3

HOU live standings context: 72-69, -38 run differential.

Opponent offense

+0.4

Live offense context: 4.52 R/G, 0.723 OPS.

Scale adjustment

-4

Recalibrates the raw component total onto the slightly lifted 20-80 displayed ranking scale.

Arsenal quality

94 pitches

CSW

21%

Whiff

19%

Zone

51%

Swing

57%

Curveball

Best CSW

36% CSW57% zone17% whiff

Arsenal breakdown

4-Seam

24%

92.3AVG / 94.0 MAX

23 thrown21% whiff

26% CSW61% zone61% swing

Sinker

12%

92.4AVG / 94.3 MAX

11 thrown0% whiff

9% CSW73% zone64% swing

Slider

13%

85.4AVG / 87.1 MAX

12 thrown0% whiff

8% CSW33% zone42% swing

Changeup

29%

89.1AVG / 90.4 MAX

27 thrown29% whiff

19% CSW33% zone63% swing

Curveball

15%

82.1AVG / 83.7 MAX

14 thrown17% whiff

36% CSW57% zone43% swing

Cutter

91.3AVG / 91.9 MAX

7 thrown20% whiff

29% CSW71% zone71% swing

Ranked Starts

Warming up

Ranked Starts

Merrill Kelly

Merrill Kelly