Toe the Slab

Upcoming Starting Matchups

This week's probable slates grouped by date. Each game is ranked once, by watchability, with both starters shown head-to-head.

Week's must-watch: COL @ CHC / Jun 17 / #1 week pick
Filters / Pregame only / Watch rank / KC

Jun 16

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

KC @ WSH

Pregame / / Nationals Park

Park 1.0074F / 10 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

KC / away

Michael Wacha

Form 42.4 · 4.91 ERA

→Steady -0.4
5d rest92 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 42.36.0 IP / 4.4 K / 3.3 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.729 OPS20.8% KOPS rank 12th
Proj K 4.4 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Michael Wacha recent form GS+: 59, 52, 28, 36, 37

The hook

48.6

score

Top watch score in this group

KCForm clashWSH

Michael Wacha recent form GS+: 59, 52, 28, 36, 37

Foster Griffin recent form GS+: 34, 62, 46, 53, 56

WSH / home

Foster Griffin

Form 50.2 · 5.46 ERA

↑Rising +4.9
6d rest88 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 50.15.1 IP / 5.2 K / 3.1 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.700 OPS21.7% KOPS rank 21st
Proj K 5.2 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Foster Griffin recent form GS+: 34, 62, 46, 53, 56

Top arm

50.2

Pairing

46.3

Jun 17

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

KC @ WSH

Pregame / / Nationals Park

Park 1.0087F / 10 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

KC / away

Luinder Avila

Form 48.5 · 1.80 ERA

→Steady +0.0
Small sample11d rest78 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 47.25.0 IP / 4.0 K / 1.1 ERlow confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.729 OPS20.8% KOPS rank 12th
Proj K 4.0 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Luinder Avila recent form GS+: 49, 48

The hook

50.3

score

Top watch score in this group

KCForm clashWSH

Luinder Avila recent form GS+: 49, 48

Zack Littell recent form GS+: 54, 46, 50, 53

WSH / home

Zack Littell

Form 50.8 · 2.14 ERA

→Steady +0.0
Small sample11d rest74 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 49.55.1 IP / 3.6 K / 1.3 ERlow confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.700 OPS21.7% KOPS rank 21st
Proj K 3.6 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Zack Littell recent form GS+: 54, 46, 50, 53

Top arm

50.8

Pairing

49.7

Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 18

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

STL @ KC

Pregame / / Kauffman Stadium

Park 1.0062F / 5 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

STL / away

Matthew Liberatore

Form 44.8 · 5.65 ERA

→Steady +1.5
5d rest83 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 45.14.2 IP / 5.3 K / 2.6 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.700 OPS21.7% KOPS rank 21st
Proj K 5.3 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Matthew Liberatore recent form GS+: 44, 48, 57, 39, 36

The hook

46.4

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

KC / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

45.4

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 19

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

STL @ KC

Pregame / / Kauffman Stadium

Park 1.0062F / 6 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

STL / away

Michael McGreevy

Form 40.8 · 4.09 ERA

→Steady -1.4
5d rest88 pitch avg
K-rate ↓
Proj GS+ 41.15.1 IP / 2.8 K / 2.3 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.679 OPS20.5% KOPS rank 23rd
Proj K 2.8 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Michael McGreevy recent form GS+: 33, 34, 44, 51, 42

The hook

45.5

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

KC / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

43.4

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 20

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 21

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

STL @ KC

Pregame / / Kauffman Stadium

Park 1.0076F / 10 mph wind / 44% rain

Top watch score

#1 tonight

STL / away

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.8

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

KC / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

46.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.

Jun 22

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

KC @ TB

Pregame / / Tropicana Field

Park 1.00Forecast unavailable

Top watch score

#1 tonight

KC / away

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.8

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

TB / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

46.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.