2026 MLB Season
Reading the slate
2026 MLB Season
Reading the slate
One card per game, ranked by starter form and matchup context.
September 16 · September 16 · first starter toes the slab 10:10 AM PDT
Wednesday, September 16
One card per game, ranked by starter form and matchup context.
Background
PENDING
Background
Worth it
Background
Must-watch
Worth it
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Must-watch
Background
Worth it
Worth it
Background
Background
Worth it
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Lines The Odds API · 21+ only. For help call 1-800-GAMBLER
Wednesday, September 16
PROGRESSIVE FIELD
--
vs.
PENDING
TBD CWS
--TBD
--
CWS @ CLE
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
57.4
CWS's starter is still open, leaving Messick as the anchor.
BUSCH STADIUM
39.3
vs.
LIMITED
TARGET FIELD
54.0
vs.
ROGERS CENTRE
46.4
vs.
PNC PARK
60.4
vs.
GREAT AMERICAN BALL PARK
51.9
vs.
TROPICANA FIELD
47.9
vs.
LIMITED
NATIONALS PARK
58.5
vs.
CITI FIELD
45.4
vs.
LIMITED
WRIGLEY FIELD
49.8
vs.
GLOBE LIFE FIELD
51.2
vs.
DAIKIN PARK
42.6
vs.
LIMITED
COORS FIELD
47.1
vs.
LIMITED
ANGEL STADIUM
52.5
vs.
CHASE FIELD
46.7
vs.
Top arm
57.4
Pairing
29.9
Matchup
57.4scored
CWS
TBD
TBD
TBD
Starter unconfirmed. Score uses league baseline.
LIMITED
Top arm
42.2
Pairing
30.5
Matchup
41.7scored
Cold-start pitchers use baseline fallback where needed.
More data closer to first pitch.
EVEN MATCHUP
Top arm
56.0
Pairing
52.5
Matchup
52.2scored
More data closer to first pitch.
EVEN MATCHUP
Top arm
49.2
Pairing
42.5
Matchup
42.0scored
More data closer to first pitch.
TOP WATCH SCORE
Top arm
62.2
Pairing
60.3
Matchup
60.1scored
More data closer to first pitch.
EVEN MATCHUP
Top arm
54.0
Pairing
49.9
Matchup
49.0scored
clear
More data closer to first pitch.
LIMITED
Top arm
54.0
Pairing
48.2
Matchup
53.1scored
Form pending for a scheduled pitcher.
More data closer to first pitch.
SOLID MATCHUP
Top arm
59.4
Pairing
59.1
Matchup
59.1scored
More data closer to first pitch.
LIMITED
Top arm
45.6
Pairing
44.0
Matchup
44.8scored
Form pending for a scheduled pitcher.
More data closer to first pitch.
EVEN MATCHUP
Top arm
52.2
Pairing
46.9
Matchup
46.5scored
More data closer to first pitch.
EVEN MATCHUP
Top arm
53.6
Pairing
48.8
Matchup
48.4scored
More data closer to first pitch.
LIMITED
Top arm
42.5
Pairing
41.7
Matchup
40.5scored
Cold-start pitchers use baseline fallback where needed.
More data closer to first pitch.
LIMITED
Top arm
46.8
Pairing
46.5
Matchup
48.1scored
Cold-start pitchers use baseline fallback where needed.
More data closer to first pitch.
EVEN MATCHUP
Top arm
53.6
Pairing
51.5
Matchup
51.9scored
More data closer to first pitch.
EVEN MATCHUP
Top arm
48.0
Pairing
44.6
Matchup
44.3scored
More data closer to first pitch.
CLE vs CWS
2.88 L5 ERA · PROJ 57.4
Anthony Molina
41.5LTD
41.5
SF @ STL
7.88 L5 ERA · PROJ 41.3
Small-sample flags make Molina's side less settled, weather at Busch Stadium points toward bats.
Both starters are rolling, with Rodón a tick ahead at 56.0.
Montero walks in with 49.2 form while Scherzer has to chase.
Henderson's 62.2 edges Jones while both starters bring heat.
Blake Snell
54.0LTD
54.0
LAD @ CIN
3.07 L5 ERA · PROJ 53.1
Limited data around Snell keeps the matchup cautious.
Brady Basso
53.0LTD
53.0
ATH @ TB
0.00 L5 ERA · PROJ 52.2
Small-sample flags make Basso's side less settled.
Two hot arms meet, and Cavalli's 59.4 gives the small lean.
44.0
Robert Stock
44.0LTD
NYM vs BAL
6.75 L5 ERA · PROJ 43.6
Thin sample on Stock, so read the number as provisional.
Imanaga has the steadier arm with Ritchie stuck low.
Bennett brings the only strong form side against cold Gore.
Daniel Lynch IV
39.0LTD
39.0
KC @ HOU
6.30 L5 ERA · PROJ 38.3
42.5
Cristian Javier
42.5LTD
HOU vs KC
6.52 L5 ERA · PROJ 42.6
IV's sample is light, so the score needs restraint.
52.0
Mason Adams
52.0LTD
COL vs SD
3.72 L5 ERA · PROJ 51.0
Limited data around Adams keeps the matchup cautious.
Kikuchi and Kirby are both hot, with Kikuchi slightly higher at 53.6.
Gusto and Kelly sit 7 points apart, chase Field plays near neutral (1.03 run factor). at Chase Field points toward arms.
57.4Climbing - 2.88 L5 ERA
Parker Messick recent form GS+: 58, 68, 47, 57, 57
42.2Slipping· 5.12 L5 ERA
42.2Slipping - 5.12 L5 ERA
Matthew Liberatore recent form GS+: 41, 29, 63, 37, 41
49.0Surging - 4.95 L5 ERA
Zebby Matthews recent form GS+: 52, 53, 66, 44, 30
35.8Slipping - 9.37 L5 ERA
Max Scherzer recent form GS+: 49, 20, 35, 42, 33
58.4Surging - 3.64 L5 ERA
Jared Jones recent form GS+: 50, 46, 58, 66, 72
45.8Slipping - 4.46 L5 ERA
Andrew Abbott recent form GS+: 57, 50, 42, 60, 20
54.0Surging - 2.56 L5 ERA
Nick Martinez recent form GS+: 48, 53, 57, 49, 63
59.4Surging - 3.30 L5 ERA
Cade Cavalli recent form GS+: 37, 60, 80, 62, 58
Form pending
Form pending
Form pending
52.2Surging - 4.08 L5 ERA
Shota Imanaga recent form GS+: 55, 44, 51, 59, 52
44.0Slipping - 4.68 L5 ERA
MacKenzie Gore recent form GS+: 59, 54, 41, 29, 37
42.5LTD - 6.52 L5 ERA
Limited
Limited
53.6Surging - 4.61 L5 ERA
Yusei Kikuchi recent form GS+: 67, 39, 47, 62, 53
41.2Even - 5.58 L5 ERA
Merrill Kelly recent form GS+: 32, 41, 36, 47, 50