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Upcoming Matchups
One card per game, ranked by starter form and matchup context.
September 18 · September 18 · first starter toes the slab 3:40 PM PDT
Friday, September 18
Matchup Board
One card per game, ranked by starter form and matchup context.
Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo
CHC @ CIN
/ Great American Ball Park
Park 1.0871F / 5 mph wind
EVEN MATCHUP
BOS @ TB
/ Tropicana Field
ATL @ HOU
/ Daikin Park
WSH @ STL
/ Busch Stadium
MIN @ LAA
/ Angel Stadium
MIA @ SD
/ Petco Park
Lines The Odds API · 21+ only. For help call 1-800-GAMBLER
Friday, September 18
Matchup Board
/ GREAT AMERICAN BALL PARK
CHC @ CIN
3.45 L5 ERA · PROJ 46.0
Cold form on both sides keeps this matchup cautious.
/ ORIOLE PARK AT CAMDEN YARDS
/ TROPICANA FIELD
/ PROGRESSIVE FIELD
/ GLOBE LIFE FIELD
/ DAIKIN PARK
/ COORS FIELD
/ BUSCH STADIUM
/ ANGEL STADIUM
/ CHASE FIELD
/ UNIQLO FIELD AT DODGER STADIUM
46.6Freefall· 3.45 L5 ERA
46.6Freefall - 3.45 L5 ERA
6d rest95 pitch avg
Getting hitWalks ↑Short outings
Proj GS+ 46.05.1 IP / 4.3 K / 2.0 ERhigh confidence
Clay Holmes recent form GS+: 60, 52, 48, 20, 53
More data closer to first pitch.
/ PNC Park
Park 0.9865F / 5 mph wind
KC
Randy Dobnak
UNCONFIRMED
FIRST STARTS2026: 11 GS / 2 RP
KC
Last: vs BOS / GS+ 52
Cold-start pitchers use baseline fallback where needed.
More data closer to first pitch.
/ Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Park 1.0171F / 9 mph wind
45.2Slipping· 5.75 L5 ERA
45.2Slipping - 5.75 L5 ERA
6d rest81 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 45.14.2 IP / 4.3 K / 2.7 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 4.3
Shane Drohan recent form GS+: 50, 55, 56, 32, 33
Starter unconfirmed. Score uses league baseline.
61.0Surging - 2.63 L5 ERA
6d rest96 pitch avg
Going deeperRun preventionWalks ↓
Proj GS+ 61.06.2 IP / 6.2 K / 1.8 ERhigh confidence
Ranger Suarez recent form GS+: 64, 62, 56, 59, 64
More data closer to first pitch.
/ Progressive Field
Park 0.9963F / 9 mph wind
Starter unconfirmed. Score uses league baseline.
/ Citi Field
Park 0.9770F / 12 mph wind
Starter unconfirmed. Score uses league baseline.
/ Rate Field
Park 1.0168F / 8 mph wind / 18% rain
Starter unconfirmed. Score uses league baseline.
/ Globe Life Field
40.6Freefall· 4.25 L5 ERA
40.6Freefall - 4.25 L5 ERA
Rust watch12d rest90 pitch avg
Getting hitShort outings
Proj GS+ 39.85.0 IP / 4.9 K / 2.4 ERhigh confidence
Spencer Arrighetti recent form GS+: 47, 44, 24, 59, 29
Starter unconfirmed. Score uses league baseline.
58.4Climbing· 2.27 L5 ERA
58.4Climbing - 2.27 L5 ERA
7d rest99 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 57.76.0 IP / 7.1 K / 1.5 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 7.1
Chris Sale recent form GS+: 55, 63, 63, 55, 56
More data closer to first pitch.
/ Coors Field
Park 1.1667F / 6 mph wind / 53% rain
58.8Surging - 3.65 L5 ERA
6d rest93 pitch avg
Run prevention
Proj GS+ 57.86.1 IP / 6.0 K / 2.6 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 6.0
Bryan Woo recent form GS+: 72, 36, 54, 72, 60
COL
Gabriel Hughes
UNCONFIRMED
FIRST STARTS
Cold-start pitchers use baseline fallback where needed.
More data closer to first pitch.
Park 0.9783F / 6 mph wind
54.0Climbing· 2.78 L5 ERA
54.0Climbing - 2.78 L5 ERA
6d rest78 pitch avg
K-rate ↑
Proj GS+ 54.04.2 IP / 4.9 K / 1.3 ERmedium confidence
Proj K 4.9
Andrew Alvarez recent form GS+: 53, 55, 49, 49, 64
More data closer to first pitch.
Park 0.9870F / 4 mph wind
47.8Climbing· 4.97 L5 ERA
47.8Climbing - 4.97 L5 ERA
Rust watch6d rest88 pitch avg
Walks ↓Going deeper
Proj GS+ 48.15.2 IP / 5.1 K / 2.8 ERhigh confidence
Connor Prielipp recent form GS+: 54, 37, 44, 63, 41
More data closer to first pitch.
Park 0.95
70F / 6 mph wind
44.8Slipping· 5.23 L5 ERA
44.8Slipping - 5.23 L5 ERA
6d rest80 pitch avg
K-rate ↓
Proj GS+ 45.35.0 IP / 3.3 K / 2.8 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 3.3
Tyler Phillips recent form GS+: 52, 49, 30, 46, 47
More data closer to first pitch.
/ Chase Field
Starter unconfirmed. Score uses league baseline.
/ UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Park 0.9870F / 3 mph wind
Starter unconfirmed. Score uses league baseline.
Chase Burns
KC @ PIT
3.09 L5 ERA · PROJ 53.4
PIT vs KC
2.98 L5 ERA · PROJ 49.2
Thin sample on Dobnak, so read the number as provisional.
MIL @ BAL
5.75 L5 ERA · PROJ 45.1
BAL vs MIL
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
A pending BAL arm keeps the matchup provisional around Drohan.
BOS @ TB
2.63 L5 ERA · PROJ 61.0
TB vs BOS
3.81 L5 ERA · PROJ 52.8
Suarez's 61.0 makes Seymour chase the stronger recent arm.
ATH @ CLE
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
CLE vs ATH
4.29 L5 ERA · PROJ 51.6
ATH remains TBD, so Cantillo's side carries the card.
PHI @ NYM
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
NYM vs PHI
5.24 L5 ERA · PROJ 48.1
PHI's starter is still open, leaving Thornton as the anchor.
DET @ CWS
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
CWS vs DET
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
DET has not named a starter; DET's side is the known arm.
TOR @ TEX
4.25 L5 ERA · PROJ 39.8
TEX vs TOR
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
TOR at TEX: Arrighetti sits 40.6 with the watch score still thin.
ATL @ HOU
2.27 L5 ERA · PROJ 57.7
HOU vs ATL
3.61 L5 ERA · PROJ 51.7
Sale has the steadier arm with Lambert stuck low.
SEA @ COL
3.65 L5 ERA · PROJ 57.8
COL vs SEA
7.71 L5 ERA · PROJ 43.0
Small-sample flags make Hughes's side less settled.
WSH @ STL
2.78 L5 ERA · PROJ 54.0
STL vs WSH
4.34 L5 ERA · PROJ 51.8
Alvarez and Leahy are both hot, with Alvarez slightly higher at 54.0.
MIN @ LAA
4.97 L5 ERA · PROJ 48.1
LAA vs MIN
7.71 L5 ERA · PROJ 39.9
Prielipp walks in with 47.8 form while Rodriguez has to chase.
MIA @ SD
5.23 L5 ERA · PROJ 45.3
SD vs MIA
3.60 L5 ERA · PROJ 57.9
Pivetta brings the only strong form side against cold Phillips.
NYY @ AZ
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
AZ vs NYY
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
NYY has not named a starter; NYY's side is the known arm.
SF @ LAD
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
LAD vs SF
-- L5 ERA · STARTER TBD
SF at LAD: SF sits 49.8 with the watch score still thin.
Proj K 4.3
54.2Slipping· 2.43 L5 ERA
↓Falling -4.6
54.2Slipping - 2.43 L5 ERA
5d rest76 pitch avg
Short outingsGetting hit
Proj GS+ 53.64.2 IP / 5.1 K / 1.2 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 5.1
Chase Burns recent form GS+: 59, 47, 51, 62, 52
48.8Freefall· 2.98 L5 ERA
48.8Freefall - 2.98 L5 ERA
6d rest90 pitch avg
K-rate ↓Getting hitWalks ↑
Proj GS+ 49.25.1 IP / 5.8 K / 1.6 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 5.8
Paul Skenes recent form GS+: 59, 46, 30, 52, 57
Proj K 6.2
52.8Climbing· 3.81 L5 ERA
52.8Climbing - 3.81 L5 ERA
6d rest75 pitch avg
Walks ↓K-rate ↑
Proj GS+ 52.84.2 IP / 5.0 K / 1.8 ERmedium confidence
Proj K 5.0
Ian Seymour recent form GS+: 58, 45, 62, 37, 62
52.2Surging - 4.29 L5 ERA
11d rest91 pitch avg
K-rate ↑Going deeper
Proj GS+ 51.65.1 IP / 5.0 K / 2.4 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 5.0
Joey Cantillo recent form GS+: 72, 66, 47, 42, 34
48.0
LTD
· 5.24 L5 ERA
Small sample6d rest80 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 48.15.2 IP / 4.7 K / 3.0 ERlow confidence
Proj K 4.7
Proj K 4.9
51.6Slipping· 3.61 L5 ERA
51.6Slipping - 3.61 L5 ERA
6d rest93 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 51.76.0 IP / 5.3 K / 2.4 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 5.3
Peter Lambert recent form GS+: 64, 49, 41, 53, 51
2026: 12 GS / 1 RP
51.8Surging· 4.34 L5 ERA
↑Rising +6.2
51.8Surging - 4.34 L5 ERA
6d rest69 pitch avg
K-rate ↑Walks ↓
Proj GS+ 51.84.2 IP / 3.7 K / 2.0 ERhigh confidence
Proj K 3.7
Kyle Leahy recent form GS+: 52, 60, 56, 36, 55
Proj K 5.1
39.6Climbing· 7.71 L5 ERA
39.6Climbing - 7.71 L5 ERA
5d rest81 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 39.94.0 IP / 3.6 K / 3.4 ERmedium confidence
Proj K 3.6
Grayson Rodriguez recent form GS+: 24, 52, 39, 34, 49
57.4Surging - 3.60 L5 ERA
5d rest69 pitch avg
Walks ↓K-rate ↑Run prevention
Proj GS+ 57.94.1 IP / 5.1 K / 1.6 ERmedium confidence
Proj K 5.1
Nick Pivetta recent form GS+: 65, 57, 59, 58, 48