Toe the Slab

Daily Ranked Starts

2026-05-15 / completed starts recap

Friday · May 15, 2026 · final
How rankings work
Previous dayNext daySlate range 20-64 / Avg 45.9 / Scale 20-80
SortGS+ rankStrikeoutsIP
BandAll 27Elite0Plus6Solid11Below7Poor3
Short outingsHide 3Show openers & short outings

Board ranks qualified starts (3.0+ IP); openers and short outings are listed separately.

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204060800369avg 45.9 GS+5.0 IPGS+IPKyle Freeland / 3.2 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 3 K / GS+ 20 / PoorFreelandJanson Junk / 5.2 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 22 / PoorAaron Nola / 3.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 23 / PoorJack Kochanowicz / 6.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 4 K / GS+ 35 / BelowTyler Mahle / 5.0 IP, 10 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 6 K / GS+ 36 / BelowSean Burke / 4.1 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 38 / BelowEdward Cabrera / 4.2 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 39 / BelowTanner Bibee / 6.2 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 2 K / GS+ 40 / BelowAaron Civale / 5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K / GS+ 42 / BelowDustin May / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 3 K / GS+ 42 / BelowClay Holmes / 4.1 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 8 K / GS+ 44 / SolidShane Baz / 7.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 44 / SolidMichael Wacha / 6.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 45 / SolidBraxton Ashcraft / 6.2 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 5 K / GS+ 45 / SolidAndrew Abbott / 5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 47 / SolidSpencer Strider / 5.1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 51 / SolidColeman Crow / 5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 52 / SolidTrey Yesavage / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 6 K / GS+ 52 / SolidZack Littell / 5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K / GS+ 54 / SolidConnelly Early / 5.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 K / GS+ 55 / SolidMerrill Kelly / 9.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 56 / SolidEmerson Hancock / 6.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K / GS+ 57 / PlusJoe Ryan / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K / GS+ 58 / PlusRandy Vásquez / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 58 / PlusJack Leiter / 7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K / GS+ 59 / PlusSpencer Arrighetti / 7.1 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 5 K / GS+ 60 / PlusArrighettiCam Schlittler / 6.2 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 9 K / GS+ 64 / PlusSchlittler

#1

Below

Dustin May

STL vs KC

6.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 3 K

KC @ STL, Busch Stadium

Paired with Michael Wacha / GS+ 45

42

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Misses

    +6.6

    3 strikeouts.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total -0.8 -> Calibrated GS+ 42

Lower 35%

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-6

4 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.4

Busch Stadium at 0.97 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

KC scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

KC scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#2

Below

Aaron Civale

ATH vs SF

5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K

SF @ ATH, Sutter Health Park

Paired with Tyler Mahle / GS+ 36

42

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -10

    2 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -7.2

    6 hits allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +0.7 -> Calibrated GS+ 42

Lower 35%

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Sutter Health Park at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

SF scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

SF scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#3

Below

Tanner Bibee

CLE vs CIN

6.2 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 2 K

CIN @ CLE, Progressive Field

Paired with Andrew Abbott / GS+ 47

40

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +20

    6.2 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -8.4

    7 hits allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total -1.9 -> Calibrated GS+ 40

Lower 35%

Length

+20

6.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-8.4

7 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.1

Progressive Field at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

CIN scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

CIN scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#4

Below

Edward Cabrera

CHC vs CWS

4.2 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K

CHC @ CWS, Rate Field

Paired with Sean Burke / GS+ 38

39

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +14

    4.2 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Free passes

    -4.5

    3 walks allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total -4.8 -> Calibrated GS+ 39

Bottom band

Length

+14

4.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-3.6

3 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

-0.1

Rate Field at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

CWS scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

CWS scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#5

Below

Sean Burke

CWS vs CHC

4.1 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 5 K

CHC @ CWS, Rate Field

Paired with Edward Cabrera / GS+ 39

38

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -20

    4 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +13

    4.1 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Misses

    +11

    5 strikeouts.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total -5.3 -> Calibrated GS+ 38

Bottom band

Length

+13

4.1 innings pitched.

Misses

+11

5 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-9.6

8 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

-0.1

Rate Field at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.1

CHC scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+0.8

CHC scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#6

Below

Tyler Mahle

SF vs ATH

5.0 IP, 10 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 6 K

SF @ ATH, Sutter Health Park

Paired with Aaron Civale / GS+ 42

36

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -25

    5 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Misses

    +13.2

    6 strikeouts.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total -10.3 -> Calibrated GS+ 36

Bottom band

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-25

5 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-12

10 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Sutter Health Park at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

ATH scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

ATH scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#7

Below

Jack Kochanowicz

LAA vs LAD

6.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 4 K

LAD @ LAA, Angel Stadium

Paired with Will Klein / GS+ 50

35

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -30

    6 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Misses

    +8.8

    4 strikeouts.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total -9.8 -> Calibrated GS+ 35

Bottom band

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-30

6 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-8.4

7 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.2

Angel Stadium at 0.98 run factor.

Opponent quality

+2.5

LAD scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+2.1

LAD scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Openers & short outings · 3

Sub-3.0 IP starts are kept out of the ranked positions but remain visible for slate completeness.

Hide short outings
SHORT

Will Klein

LAD vs LAA / not ranked

2.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

GS+ 50

SHORT

Ian Seymour

TB vs MIA / not ranked

2.0 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

GS+ 45

OPENER

Brenan Hanifee

DET vs TOR / not ranked

1.0 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

GS+ 41