Toe the Slab

Daily Ranked Starts

2026-05-15 / completed starts recap

Friday · May 15, 2026 · final
How rankings work
Previous dayNext daySlate range 20-64 / Avg 45.9 / Scale 20-80

Board ranks qualified starts (3.0+ IP); openers and short outings are listed separately.

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204060800369avg 45.9 GS+5.0 IPGS+IPKyle Freeland / 3.2 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 3 K / GS+ 20 / PoorFreelandJanson Junk / 5.2 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 22 / PoorAaron Nola / 3.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 23 / PoorJack Kochanowicz / 6.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 4 K / GS+ 35 / BelowTyler Mahle / 5.0 IP, 10 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 6 K / GS+ 36 / BelowSean Burke / 4.1 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 38 / BelowEdward Cabrera / 4.2 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 39 / BelowTanner Bibee / 6.2 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 2 K / GS+ 40 / BelowAaron Civale / 5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K / GS+ 42 / BelowDustin May / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 3 K / GS+ 42 / BelowClay Holmes / 4.1 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 8 K / GS+ 44 / SolidShane Baz / 7.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 44 / SolidMichael Wacha / 6.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 45 / SolidBraxton Ashcraft / 6.2 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 5 K / GS+ 45 / SolidAndrew Abbott / 5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 47 / SolidSpencer Strider / 5.1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 51 / SolidColeman Crow / 5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 52 / SolidTrey Yesavage / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 6 K / GS+ 52 / SolidZack Littell / 5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K / GS+ 54 / SolidConnelly Early / 5.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 K / GS+ 55 / SolidMerrill Kelly / 9.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 56 / SolidEmerson Hancock / 6.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K / GS+ 57 / PlusJoe Ryan / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K / GS+ 58 / PlusRandy Vásquez / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 58 / PlusJack Leiter / 7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K / GS+ 59 / PlusSpencer Arrighetti / 7.1 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 5 K / GS+ 60 / PlusArrighettiCam Schlittler / 6.2 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 9 K / GS+ 64 / PlusSchlittler

PLUS · 6

#1

Plus

Cam Schlittler

NYY vs NYM

GAS9 K

6.2 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 9 K

NYY @ NYM, Citi Field

Paired with Clay Holmes / GS+ 44

64

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +20

    6.2 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +19.8

    9 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +29.8 -> Calibrated GS+ 64

Top 20%

Length

+20

6.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+19.8

9 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-2.4

2 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.4

Citi Field at 0.97 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

NYM scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

NYM scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#2

Plus

Spencer Arrighetti

HOU vs TEX

GAS7.1 IP

7.1 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 5 K

TEX @ HOU, Daikin Park

Paired with Jack Leiter / GS+ 59

60

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +22

    7.1 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +11

    5 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Free passes

    -6

    4 walks allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +27.3 -> Calibrated GS+ 60

Top 20%

Length

+22

7.1 innings pitched.

Misses

+11

5 strikeouts.

Runs

0

0 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-1.2

1 hits allowed.

Free passes

-6

4 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.1

Daikin Park at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

+0.8

TEX scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+0.6

TEX scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#3

Plus

Jack Leiter

TEX vs HOU

GAS7.0 IP

7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K

TEX @ HOU, Daikin Park

Paired with Spencer Arrighetti / GS+ 60

59

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +21

    7.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +13.2

    6 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +24 -> Calibrated GS+ 59

Middle band

Length

+21

7.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-3.6

3 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.1

Daikin Park at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.6

HOU scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.2

HOU scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#4

Plus

Joe Ryan

MIN vs MIL

Length

6.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K

MIL @ MIN, Target Field

Paired with Coleman Crow / GS+ 52

58

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +15.4

    7 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +22.2 -> Calibrated GS+ 58

Middle band

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+15.4

7 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.1

Target Field at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

MIL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

MIL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#5

Plus

Randy Vásquez

SD vs SEA

Length

6.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K

SD @ SEA, T-Mobile Park

Paired with Emerson Hancock / GS+ 57

58

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +6.6

    3 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -4.8

    4 hits allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +20.4 -> Calibrated GS+ 58

Middle band

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

0

0 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

0

0 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.6

T-Mobile Park at 0.95 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

SEA scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

SEA scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#6

Plus

Emerson Hancock

SEA vs SD

Length

6.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K

SD @ SEA, T-Mobile Park

Paired with Randy Vásquez / GS+ 58

57

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +13.2

    6 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -6

    5 hits allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +21.5 -> Calibrated GS+ 57

Middle band

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.6

T-Mobile Park at 0.95 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.3

SD scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+0.9

SD scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

SOLID · 11

#7

Solid

Merrill Kelly

AZ vs COL

9.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K

AZ @ COL, Coors Field

Paired with Kyle Freeland / GS+ 20

56

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +27

    9.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +6.6

    3 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +21.9 -> Calibrated GS+ 56

Middle band

Length

+27

9.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

0

0 walks allowed.

Park context

-1.9

Coors Field at 1.16 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

COL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

COL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#8

Solid

Connelly Early

BOS vs ATL

5.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 K

BOS @ ATL, Truist Park

Paired with Spencer Strider / GS+ 51

55

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +13.2

    6 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -10

    2 earned runs allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +16.2 -> Calibrated GS+ 55

Middle band

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

0

0 walks allowed.

Park context

-0.1

Truist Park at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

+2.2

ATL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.9

ATL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#9

Solid

Zack Littell

WSH vs BAL

5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

BAL @ WSH, Nationals Park

Paired with Shane Baz / GS+ 44

54

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +6.6

    3 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Free passes

    -3

    2 walks allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +18.7 -> Calibrated GS+ 54

Middle band

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

0

0 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-2.4

2 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Nationals Park at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.4

BAL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.1

BAL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#10

Solid

Trey Yesavage

TOR vs DET

6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 6 K

TOR @ DET, Comerica Park

Paired with Brenan Hanifee / GS+ 41

52

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +13.2

    6 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -10

    2 earned runs allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +12.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 52

Middle band

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.2

Comerica Park at 0.98 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

DET scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

DET scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#11

Solid

Coleman Crow

MIL vs MIN

5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K

MIL @ MIN, Target Field

Paired with Joe Ryan / GS+ 58

52

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +6.6

    3 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +13.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 52

Middle band

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-3.6

3 hits allowed.

Free passes

0

0 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.1

Target Field at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

MIN scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

MIN scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#12

Solid

Spencer Strider

ATL vs BOS

5.1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

BOS @ ATL, Truist Park

Paired with Connelly Early / GS+ 55

51

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +16

    5.1 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +8.8

    4 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +13.2 -> Calibrated GS+ 51

Middle band

Length

+16

5.1 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-3.6

3 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

-0.1

Truist Park at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

+0.9

BOS scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+0.7

BOS scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#13

Solid

Andrew Abbott

CIN vs CLE

5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 2 K

CIN @ CLE, Progressive Field

Paired with Tanner Bibee / GS+ 40

47

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -4.8

    4 hits allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +5.2 -> Calibrated GS+ 47

Lower 35%

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.1

Progressive Field at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

CLE scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

CLE scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#14

Solid

Braxton Ashcraft

PIT vs PHI

6.2 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 5 K

PHI @ PIT, PNC Park

Paired with Aaron Nola / GS+ 23

45

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +20

    6.2 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -20

    4 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Misses

    +11

    5 strikeouts.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +6.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 45

Lower 35%

Length

+20

6.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+11

5 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-8.4

7 hits allowed.

Free passes

0

0 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.2

PNC Park at 0.98 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.8

PHI scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.5

PHI scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#15

Solid

Michael Wacha

KC vs STL

6.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 K

KC @ STL, Busch Stadium

Paired with Dustin May / GS+ 42

45

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Misses

    +11

    5 strikeouts.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +6.9 -> Calibrated GS+ 45

Lower 35%

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+11

5 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.4

Busch Stadium at 0.97 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

STL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

STL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#16

Solid

Shane Baz

BAL vs WSH

7.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

BAL @ WSH, Nationals Park

Paired with Zack Littell / GS+ 54

44

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +21

    7.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Misses

    +8.8

    4 strikeouts.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +3.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 44

Lower 35%

Length

+21

7.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Nationals Park at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

WSH scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

WSH scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#17

Solid

Clay Holmes

NYM vs NYY

4.1 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 8 K

NYY @ NYM, Citi Field

Paired with Cam Schlittler / GS+ 64

44

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -20

    4 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Misses

    +17.6

    8 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Length

    +13

    4.1 innings pitched.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +3.3 -> Calibrated GS+ 44

Lower 35%

Length

+13

4.1 innings pitched.

Misses

+17.6

8 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-8.4

7 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.4

Citi Field at 0.97 run factor.

Opponent quality

+2

NYY scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.7

NYY scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

BELOW · 7

#18

Below

Dustin May

STL vs KC

6.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 3 K

KC @ STL, Busch Stadium

Paired with Michael Wacha / GS+ 45

42

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Misses

    +6.6

    3 strikeouts.

Additive breakdown

Earned total -0.8 -> Calibrated GS+ 42

Lower 35%

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-6

4 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.4

Busch Stadium at 0.97 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

KC scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

KC scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#19

Below

Aaron Civale

ATH vs SF

5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K

SF @ ATH, Sutter Health Park

Paired with Tyler Mahle / GS+ 36

42

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -10

    2 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -7.2

    6 hits allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total +0.7 -> Calibrated GS+ 42

Lower 35%

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Sutter Health Park at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

SF scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

SF scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#20

Below

Tanner Bibee

CLE vs CIN

6.2 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 2 K

CIN @ CLE, Progressive Field

Paired with Andrew Abbott / GS+ 47

40

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +20

    6.2 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -8.4

    7 hits allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total -1.9 -> Calibrated GS+ 40

Lower 35%

Length

+20

6.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-8.4

7 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.1

Progressive Field at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

CIN scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

CIN scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#21

Below

Edward Cabrera

CHC vs CWS

4.2 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K

CHC @ CWS, Rate Field

Paired with Sean Burke / GS+ 38

39

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +14

    4.2 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Free passes

    -4.5

    3 walks allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total -4.8 -> Calibrated GS+ 39

Bottom band

Length

+14

4.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-3.6

3 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

-0.1

Rate Field at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

CWS scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

CWS scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#22

Below

Sean Burke

CWS vs CHC

4.1 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 5 K

CHC @ CWS, Rate Field

Paired with Edward Cabrera / GS+ 39

38

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -20

    4 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +13

    4.1 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Misses

    +11

    5 strikeouts.

Additive breakdown

Earned total -5.3 -> Calibrated GS+ 38

Bottom band

Length

+13

4.1 innings pitched.

Misses

+11

5 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-9.6

8 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

-0.1

Rate Field at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.1

CHC scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+0.8

CHC scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#23

Below

Tyler Mahle

SF vs ATH

5.0 IP, 10 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 6 K

SF @ ATH, Sutter Health Park

Paired with Aaron Civale / GS+ 42

36

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -25

    5 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Misses

    +13.2

    6 strikeouts.

Additive breakdown

Earned total -10.3 -> Calibrated GS+ 36

Bottom band

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-25

5 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-12

10 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Sutter Health Park at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

ATH scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

ATH scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#24

Below

Jack Kochanowicz

LAA vs LAD

6.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 4 K

LAD @ LAA, Angel Stadium

Paired with Will Klein / GS+ 50

35

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -30

    6 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Misses

    +8.8

    4 strikeouts.

Additive breakdown

Earned total -9.8 -> Calibrated GS+ 35

Bottom band

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-30

6 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-8.4

7 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.2

Angel Stadium at 0.98 run factor.

Opponent quality

+2.5

LAD scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+2.1

LAD scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

POOR · 3

#25

Poor

Aaron Nola

PHI vs PIT

3.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 2 K

PHI @ PIT, PNC Park

Paired with Braxton Ashcraft / GS+ 45

23

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -30

    6 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +11

    3.2 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -7.2

    6 hits allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total -26.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 23

Bottom band

Length

+11

3.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-30

6 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.2

PNC Park at 0.98 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

PIT scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

PIT scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#26

Poor

Janson Junk

MIA vs TB

5.2 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

MIA @ TB, Tropicana Field

Paired with Ian Seymour / GS+ 45

22

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -35

    7 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +17

    5.2 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -12

    10 hits allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total -25.7 -> Calibrated GS+ 22

Bottom band

Length

+17

5.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-35

7 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-12

10 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Tropicana Field at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

TB scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

TB scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#27

Poor

Kyle Freeland

COL vs AZ

3.2 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 3 K

AZ @ COL, Coors Field

Paired with Merrill Kelly / GS+ 56

20

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -35

    7 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +11

    3.2 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -9.6

    8 hits allowed.

Additive breakdown

Earned total -34.9 -> Calibrated GS+ 20

Bottom band

Length

+11

3.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-35

7 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-9.6

8 hits allowed.

Free passes

-6

4 walks allowed.

Park context

-1.9

Coors Field at 1.16 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

AZ scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

AZ scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Openers & short outings · 3

Sub-3.0 IP starts are kept out of the ranked positions but remain visible for slate completeness.

Hide short outings
SHORT

Will Klein

LAD vs LAA / not ranked

2.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

GS+ 50

SHORT

Ian Seymour

TB vs MIA / not ranked

2.0 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

GS+ 45

OPENER

Brenan Hanifee

DET vs TOR / not ranked

1.0 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

GS+ 41