Toe the Slab

Daily Ranked Starts

2026-05-15 / completed starts recap

Friday · May 15, 2026 · final
How rankings work
Previous dayNext daySlate range 20-64 / Avg 45.9 / Scale 20-80
SortGS+ rankStrikeoutsIP
BandAll 27Elite0Plus6Solid11Below7Poor3
Short outingsHide 3Show openers & short outings

Board ranks qualified starts (3.0+ IP); openers and short outings are listed separately.

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Slate shape

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204060800369avg 45.9 GS+5.0 IPGS+IPKyle Freeland / 3.2 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 3 K / GS+ 20 / PoorFreelandJanson Junk / 5.2 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 22 / PoorAaron Nola / 3.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 23 / PoorJack Kochanowicz / 6.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 4 K / GS+ 35 / BelowTyler Mahle / 5.0 IP, 10 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 6 K / GS+ 36 / BelowSean Burke / 4.1 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 38 / BelowEdward Cabrera / 4.2 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 39 / BelowTanner Bibee / 6.2 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 2 K / GS+ 40 / BelowAaron Civale / 5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K / GS+ 42 / BelowDustin May / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 3 K / GS+ 42 / BelowClay Holmes / 4.1 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 8 K / GS+ 44 / SolidShane Baz / 7.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 44 / SolidMichael Wacha / 6.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 45 / SolidBraxton Ashcraft / 6.2 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 5 K / GS+ 45 / SolidAndrew Abbott / 5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 47 / SolidSpencer Strider / 5.1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 51 / SolidColeman Crow / 5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 52 / SolidTrey Yesavage / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 6 K / GS+ 52 / SolidZack Littell / 5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K / GS+ 54 / SolidConnelly Early / 5.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 K / GS+ 55 / SolidMerrill Kelly / 9.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 56 / SolidEmerson Hancock / 6.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K / GS+ 57 / PlusJoe Ryan / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K / GS+ 58 / PlusRandy Vásquez / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 58 / PlusJack Leiter / 7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K / GS+ 59 / PlusSpencer Arrighetti / 7.1 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 5 K / GS+ 60 / PlusArrighettiCam Schlittler / 6.2 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 9 K / GS+ 64 / PlusSchlittler

#1

Poor

Aaron Nola

PHI vs PIT

3.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 2 K

PHI @ PIT, PNC Park

Paired with Braxton Ashcraft / GS+ 45

23

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -30

    6 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +11

    3.2 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -7.2

    6 hits allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total -26.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 23

Bottom band

Length

+11

3.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-30

6 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.2

PNC Park at 0.98 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

PIT scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

PIT scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#2

Poor

Janson Junk

MIA vs TB

5.2 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

MIA @ TB, Tropicana Field

Paired with Ian Seymour / GS+ 45

22

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -35

    7 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +17

    5.2 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -12

    10 hits allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total -25.7 -> Calibrated GS+ 22

Bottom band

Length

+17

5.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-35

7 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-12

10 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Tropicana Field at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

TB scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

TB scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#3

Poor

Kyle Freeland

COL vs AZ

3.2 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 3 K

AZ @ COL, Coors Field

Paired with Merrill Kelly / GS+ 56

20

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -35

    7 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Length

    +11

    3.2 innings pitched.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -9.6

    8 hits allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total -34.9 -> Calibrated GS+ 20

Bottom band

Length

+11

3.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-35

7 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-9.6

8 hits allowed.

Free passes

-6

4 walks allowed.

Park context

-1.9

Coors Field at 1.16 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

AZ scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

AZ scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Openers & short outings · 3

Sub-3.0 IP starts are kept out of the ranked positions but remain visible for slate completeness.

Hide short outings
SHORT

Will Klein

LAD vs LAA / not ranked

2.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

GS+ 50

SHORT

Ian Seymour

TB vs MIA / not ranked

2.0 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

GS+ 45

OPENER

Brenan Hanifee

DET vs TOR / not ranked

1.0 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

GS+ 41