Toe the Slab

Daily Ranked Starts

2026-05-15 / completed starts recap

Friday · May 15, 2026 · final
How rankings work
Previous dayNext daySlate range 20-64 / Avg 45.9 / Scale 20-80
SortGS+ rankStrikeoutsIP
BandAll 27Elite0Plus6Solid11Below7Poor3
Short outingsHide 3Show openers & short outings

Board ranks qualified starts (3.0+ IP); openers and short outings are listed separately.

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204060800369avg 45.9 GS+5.0 IPGS+IPKyle Freeland / 3.2 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 3 K / GS+ 20 / PoorFreelandJanson Junk / 5.2 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 22 / PoorAaron Nola / 3.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 23 / PoorJack Kochanowicz / 6.0 IP, 7 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 4 K / GS+ 35 / BelowTyler Mahle / 5.0 IP, 10 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 6 K / GS+ 36 / BelowSean Burke / 4.1 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 38 / BelowEdward Cabrera / 4.2 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 39 / BelowTanner Bibee / 6.2 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 2 K / GS+ 40 / BelowAaron Civale / 5.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 2 K / GS+ 42 / BelowDustin May / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 3 K / GS+ 42 / BelowClay Holmes / 4.1 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 8 K / GS+ 44 / SolidShane Baz / 7.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 44 / SolidMichael Wacha / 6.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 K / GS+ 45 / SolidBraxton Ashcraft / 6.2 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 5 K / GS+ 45 / SolidAndrew Abbott / 5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 2 K / GS+ 47 / SolidSpencer Strider / 5.1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 4 K / GS+ 51 / SolidColeman Crow / 5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 52 / SolidTrey Yesavage / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 6 K / GS+ 52 / SolidZack Littell / 5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K / GS+ 54 / SolidConnelly Early / 5.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 K / GS+ 55 / SolidMerrill Kelly / 9.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 56 / SolidEmerson Hancock / 6.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 6 K / GS+ 57 / PlusJoe Ryan / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K / GS+ 58 / PlusRandy Vásquez / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K / GS+ 58 / PlusJack Leiter / 7.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K / GS+ 59 / PlusSpencer Arrighetti / 7.1 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 5 K / GS+ 60 / PlusArrighettiCam Schlittler / 6.2 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 9 K / GS+ 64 / PlusSchlittler

#1

Solid

Merrill Kelly

AZ vs COL

9.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K

AZ @ COL, Coors Field

Paired with Kyle Freeland / GS+ 20

56

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +27

    9.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +6.6

    3 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +21.9 -> Calibrated GS+ 56

Middle band

Length

+27

9.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

0

0 walks allowed.

Park context

-1.9

Coors Field at 1.16 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

COL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

COL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#2

Solid

Connelly Early

BOS vs ATL

5.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 K

BOS @ ATL, Truist Park

Paired with Spencer Strider / GS+ 51

55

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +13.2

    6 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -10

    2 earned runs allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +16.2 -> Calibrated GS+ 55

Middle band

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

0

0 walks allowed.

Park context

-0.1

Truist Park at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

+2.2

ATL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.9

ATL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#3

Solid

Zack Littell

WSH vs BAL

5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K

BAL @ WSH, Nationals Park

Paired with Shane Baz / GS+ 44

54

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +6.6

    3 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Free passes

    -3

    2 walks allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +18.7 -> Calibrated GS+ 54

Middle band

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

0

0 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-2.4

2 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Nationals Park at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.4

BAL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.1

BAL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#4

Solid

Trey Yesavage

TOR vs DET

6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 6 K

TOR @ DET, Comerica Park

Paired with Brenan Hanifee / GS+ 41

52

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +13.2

    6 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -10

    2 earned runs allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +12.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 52

Middle band

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+13.2

6 strikeouts.

Runs

-10

2 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.2

Comerica Park at 0.98 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

DET scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

DET scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#5

Solid

Coleman Crow

MIL vs MIN

5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K

MIL @ MIN, Target Field

Paired with Joe Ryan / GS+ 58

52

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +6.6

    3 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +13.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 52

Middle band

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+6.6

3 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-3.6

3 hits allowed.

Free passes

0

0 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.1

Target Field at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

MIN scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

MIN scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#6

Solid

Spencer Strider

ATL vs BOS

5.1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

BOS @ ATL, Truist Park

Paired with Connelly Early / GS+ 55

51

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +16

    5.1 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Misses

    +8.8

    4 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +13.2 -> Calibrated GS+ 51

Middle band

Length

+16

5.1 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-3.6

3 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

-0.1

Truist Park at 1.01 run factor.

Opponent quality

+0.9

BOS scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+0.7

BOS scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#7

Solid

Andrew Abbott

CIN vs CLE

5.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 2 K

CIN @ CLE, Progressive Field

Paired with Tanner Bibee / GS+ 40

47

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +15

    5.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -5

    1 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Traffic

    -4.8

    4 hits allowed.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +5.2 -> Calibrated GS+ 47

Lower 35%

Length

+15

5.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+4.4

2 strikeouts.

Runs

-5

1 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-4.8

4 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.1

Progressive Field at 0.99 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

CLE scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

CLE scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#8

Solid

Braxton Ashcraft

PIT vs PHI

6.2 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 0 BB, 5 K

PHI @ PIT, PNC Park

Paired with Aaron Nola / GS+ 23

45

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +20

    6.2 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -20

    4 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Misses

    +11

    5 strikeouts.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +6.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 45

Lower 35%

Length

+20

6.2 innings pitched.

Misses

+11

5 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-8.4

7 hits allowed.

Free passes

0

0 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.2

PNC Park at 0.98 run factor.

Opponent quality

+1.8

PHI scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.5

PHI scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#9

Solid

Michael Wacha

KC vs STL

6.0 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 5 K

KC @ STL, Busch Stadium

Paired with Dustin May / GS+ 42

45

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +18

    6.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Misses

    +11

    5 strikeouts.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +6.9 -> Calibrated GS+ 45

Lower 35%

Length

+18

6.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+11

5 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-6

5 hits allowed.

Free passes

-1.5

1 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.4

Busch Stadium at 0.97 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

STL scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

STL scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#10

Solid

Shane Baz

BAL vs WSH

7.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 4 K

BAL @ WSH, Nationals Park

Paired with Zack Littell / GS+ 54

44

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Length

    +21

    7.0 innings pitched.

  2. 2. Runs

    -15

    3 earned runs allowed.

  3. 3. Misses

    +8.8

    4 strikeouts.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +3.1 -> Calibrated GS+ 44

Lower 35%

Length

+21

7.0 innings pitched.

Misses

+8.8

4 strikeouts.

Runs

-15

3 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-7.2

6 hits allowed.

Free passes

-4.5

3 walks allowed.

Park context

0

Nationals Park at 1.00 run factor.

Opponent quality

0

WSH scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

0

WSH scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

#11

Solid

Clay Holmes

NYM vs NYY

4.1 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 8 K

NYY @ NYM, Citi Field

Paired with Cam Schlittler / GS+ 64

44

GS+

Ranking reasons

  1. 1. Runs

    -20

    4 earned runs allowed.

  2. 2. Misses

    +17.6

    8 strikeouts.

  3. 3. Length

    +13

    4.1 innings pitched.

Start LogPitcher ProfileSame game starter

Additive breakdown

Earned total +3.3 -> Calibrated GS+ 44

Lower 35%

Length

+13

4.1 innings pitched.

Misses

+17.6

8 strikeouts.

Runs

-20

4 earned runs allowed.

Traffic

-8.4

7 hits allowed.

Free passes

-3

2 walks allowed.

Park context

+0.4

Citi Field at 0.97 run factor.

Opponent quality

+2

NYY scheduled opponent quality from the MLB schedule matchup.

Opponent offense

+1.7

NYY scheduled offense quality from fixture lineup context.

Openers & short outings · 3

Sub-3.0 IP starts are kept out of the ranked positions but remain visible for slate completeness.

Hide short outings
SHORT

Will Klein

LAD vs LAA / not ranked

2.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

GS+ 50

SHORT

Ian Seymour

TB vs MIA / not ranked

2.0 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 2 K

GS+ 45

OPENER

Brenan Hanifee

DET vs TOR / not ranked

1.0 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 1 K

GS+ 41