Toe the Slab

Upcoming Starting Matchups

This week's probable slates grouped by date. Each game is ranked once, by watchability, with both starters shown head-to-head.

Week's must-watch: COL @ CHC / Jun 17 / #1 week pick
Filters / All statuses / Watch rank / NYY

Jun 16

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

CWS @ NYY

Pregame / / Yankee Stadium

Park 1.0365F / 8 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

CWS / away

Davis Martin

Form 47.8 · 3.81 ERA

→Steady +0.0
6d rest93 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 47.75.2 IP / 5.0 K / 2.2 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.748 OPS22.9% KOPS rank 7th
Proj K 5.0 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Davis Martin recent form GS+: 60, 43, 55, 20, 61

The hook

48.6

score

Top watch score in this group

CWSForm clashNYY

Davis Martin recent form GS+: 60, 43, 55, 20, 61

Gerrit Cole recent form GS+: 51, 68, 34, 42

NYY / home

Gerrit Cole

Form 48.8 · 2.45 ERA

→Steady +0.0
Small sample7d rest79 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 47.95.2 IP / 4.3 K / 1.4 ERlow confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.723 OPS24.0% KOPS rank 17th
Proj K 4.3 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Gerrit Cole recent form GS+: 51, 68, 34, 42

Top arm

48.8

Pairing

48.3

Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 17

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

CWS @ NYY

Pregame / / Yankee Stadium

Park 1.0364F / 5 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

CWS / away

Anthony Kay

Form 47.6 · 3.73 ERA

→Steady +0.4
5d rest89 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 47.55.0 IP / 4.4 K / 2.1 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.748 OPS22.9% KOPS rank 7th
Proj K 4.4 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Anthony Kay recent form GS+: 53, 53, 46, 30, 56

The hook

49.6

score

Top watch score in this group

CWSForm clashNYY

Anthony Kay recent form GS+: 53, 53, 46, 30, 56

Carlos Rodón recent form GS+: 46, 54, 49, 57, 48

NYY / home

Carlos Rodón

Form 50.8 · 2.70 ERA

→Steady +0.0
7d rest94 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 49.95.1 IP / 5.7 K / 1.5 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.775 OPS23.5% KOPS rank 3rd
Proj K 5.7 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Carlos Rodón recent form GS+: 46, 54, 49, 57, 48

Top arm

50.8

Pairing

49.2

Jun 18

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

CWS @ NYY

Pregame / / Yankee Stadium

Park 1.0380F / 11 mph wind / 10% rain

Top watch score

#1 tonight

CWS / away

Sean Burke

Form 47.0 · 4.62 ERA

→Steady +0.0
5d rest92 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 46.45.0 IP / 5.9 K / 2.7 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.748 OPS22.9% KOPS rank 7th
Proj K 5.9 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Sean Burke recent form GS+: 38, 47, 59, 54, 37

The hook

45.9

score

Top watch score in this group

CWSForm clashNYY

Sean Burke recent form GS+: 38, 47, 59, 54, 37

Ryan Weathers recent form GS+: 39, 57, 47, 38, 26

NYY / home

Ryan Weathers

Form 41.4 · 6.44 ERA

→Steady +0.0
6d rest93 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 40.86.0 IP / 5.5 K / 4.4 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.723 OPS24.0% KOPS rank 17th
Proj K 5.5 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Ryan Weathers recent form GS+: 39, 57, 47, 38, 26

Top arm

47.0

Pairing

44.2

Jun 19

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

CIN @ NYY

Pregame / / Yankee Stadium

Park 1.0372F / 8 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

CIN / away

Rhett Lowder

Form 51.5

→Steady +0.0
Small sample6d rest83 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 51.24.1 IP / 4.7 K / 0.5 ERlow confidence
Opp vs LHP 0.794 OPS22.7% KOPS rank 1st
Proj K 4.7 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Rhett Lowder recent form GS+: 50, 53

The hook

49.5

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

NYY / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

51.5

Pairing

48.8

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 20

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

CIN @ NYY

Pregame / / Yankee Stadium

Park 1.0377F / 21 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

CIN / away

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.8

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

NYY / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

46.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.

Jun 21

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

CIN @ NYY

Pregame / / Yankee Stadium

Park 1.0381F / 11 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

CIN / away

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.8

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

NYY / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

46.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.

Jun 22

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

NYY @ DET

Pregame / / Comerica Park

Park 0.9861F / 3 mph wind / 11% rain

Top watch score

#1 tonight

NYY / away

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.8

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

DET / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

46.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.