Toe the Slab

Upcoming Starting Matchups

This week's probable slates grouped by date. Each game is ranked once, by watchability, with both starters shown head-to-head.

Week's must-watch: COL @ CHC / Jun 17 / #1 week pick
Filters / All statuses / Watch rank / PHI

Jun 16

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

MIA @ PHI

Pregame / / Citizens Bank Park

Park 1.0165F / 6 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

MIA / away

Tyler Phillips

Form 48.3 · 1.98 ERA

→Steady +0.0
Small sample5d rest67 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 48.44.2 IP / 3.4 K / 0.9 ERlow confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.688 OPS23.4% KOPS rank 25th
Proj K 3.4 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Tyler Phillips recent form GS+: 51, 38, 56

The hook

50.0

score

Top watch score in this group

MIAForm clashPHI

Tyler Phillips recent form GS+: 51, 38, 56

Jesús Luzardo recent form GS+: 49, 62, 51, 31, 56

PHI / home

Jesús Luzardo

Form 49.8 · 2.57 ERA

→Steady -1.0
6d rest96 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 49.95.2 IP / 4.6 K / 1.5 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.699 OPS21.4% KOPS rank 22nd
Proj K 4.6 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Jesús Luzardo recent form GS+: 49, 62, 51, 31, 56

Top arm

49.8

Pairing

49.1

Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 17

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

MIA @ PHI

Pregame / / Citizens Bank Park

Park 1.0180F / 3 mph wind / 28% rain

Top watch score

#1 tonight

MIA / away

Sandy Alcantara

Form 42.6 · 4.76 ERA

→Steady -2.7
5d rest95 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 42.46.2 IP / 5.0 K / 3.3 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.688 OPS23.4% KOPS rank 25th
Proj K 5.0 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Sandy Alcantara recent form GS+: 32, 21, 48, 59, 53

The hook

43.5

score

Top watch score in this group

MIAForm clashPHI

Sandy Alcantara recent form GS+: 32, 21, 48, 59, 53

Andrew Painter recent form GS+: 54, 46, 44, 37, 29

PHI / home

Andrew Painter

Form 42.0 · 5.33 ERA

→Steady +0.0
11d rest77 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 41.05.0 IP / 3.3 K / 3.0 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.699 OPS21.4% KOPS rank 22nd
Proj K 3.3 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Andrew Painter recent form GS+: 54, 46, 44, 37, 29

Top arm

42.6

Pairing

42.3

Jun 18

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

NYM @ PHI

Pregame / / Citizens Bank Park

Park 1.0181F / 12 mph wind / 13% rain

Top watch score

#1 tonight

NYM / away

Sean Manaea

Limited form sample

Last: vs ATL / 6.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 6 K / GS+ 58

Proj GS+ 57.56.0 IP / 6.0 K / 2.1 ERlow confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.688 OPS23.4% KOPS rank 25th
Proj K 6.0 / prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

54.6

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

PHI / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

58.0

Pairing

52.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.

Jun 19

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Slate complete

No active pregame matchups remain on this slate. Final or postponed games are removed from the upcoming watch list.

Jun 20

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

NYM @ PHI

Pregame / / Citizens Bank Park

Park 1.0169F / 7 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

NYM / away

Freddy Peralta

Form 44.0 · 5.08 ERA

→Steady +0.0
6d rest98 pitch avg
Proj GS+ 44.05.2 IP / 4.8 K / 2.9 ERmedium confidence
Opp vs RHP 0.688 OPS23.4% KOPS rank 25th
Proj K 4.8 / prop pendingTeam total pending

Freddy Peralta recent form GS+: 47, 37, 52, 34, 50

The hook

46.3

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

PHI / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

45.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.

Jun 21

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

NYM @ PHI

Pregame / / Citizens Bank Park

Park 1.0166F / 9 mph wind

Top watch score

#1 tonight

NYM / away

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.8

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

PHI / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

46.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.

Jun 22

Must-Watch Games

Ranked by starter form, pairing quality, and matchup context. Matchup values are shown with a slate rank, never as a bare number.

Data through / MLB Stats API / Baseball Savant / Open-Meteo

Day slate

Must-watch

PHI @ WSH

Pregame / / Nationals Park

Park 1.0067F / 9 mph wind / 31% rain

Top watch score

#1 tonight

PHI / away

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

The hook

46.8

score

Top watch score in this group

Form clash pending

WSH / home

TBD

Starter TBD / league baseline used

Projection pending

Proj K -- / prop pendingTeam total pending

Top arm

46.0

Pairing

46.0

TBD starter included with league-mean fallback. Limited form samples use baseline fallback where needed.Opponent split context pending.